NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	8.2 [260]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +48.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	2.7 [377]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (SAC): -20.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.17	-0.03	16	61%	0.33	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.03	0.03	19	52%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Keegan Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.11	0.02	20	48%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	4	-0.19	6	83%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.49	0.49	0.23	0.29	0.03	16	83%	0.54	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	18	60%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	6	64%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	13	15%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.6	15.4	24.2	2.0	30.2	128.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.5%

SAC -10.9%

POR +9.4%

POR +6.8%

POR +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	14.4	104.1	110.2	113.1
season	14.3	14.3		115.1	110.3
opponent	14.5	14.6		113.0	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	15.8	13.6	12.8	13.7
POR	16.4	13.5	15.2	17.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	59	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-11	16	13.2	14.4	-1.22	16.5	14.4	2.11
Keegan Murray	71	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-13	20	13.4	14.4	-1.01	16.3	14.2	2.06
DeMar DeRozan	74	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-11	16	13.0	15.8	-2.81	16.7	12.2	4.50
Malik Monk	79	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	13.2	15.5	-2.23	16.1	14.2	1.87
Keon Ellis	49	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	5	-16	14.4	13.0	1.39	14.2	17.2	-2.94
Devin Carter	19	17	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	4	-14	15.5	13.2	2.30	12.6	16.4	-3.78
Jonas Valanciunas	37	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	6	-18	14.9	12.9	1.96	13.8	16.8	-2.98
Trey Lyles	27	29	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	8	-22	14.2	13.5	0.76	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Zach LaVine	75	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-5	4	13.7	13.5	0.26	16.0	14.9	1.11

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-5	16	15.3	16.5	-1.12	13.2	14.7	-1.46
Jerami Grant	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	15.8	15.5	0.28	13.4	14.5	-1.05
Anfernee Simons	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	16.2	14.5	1.75	14.0	12.8	1.21
Donovan Clingan	33	34	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-2	10	14.4	16.4	-1.94	15.6	12.6	2.98
Dalano Banton	19	19	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-2	10	14.8	15.9	-1.15	16.2	13.1	3.08
Toumani Camara	74	74	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	10	-14	16.5	13.4	3.04	12.9	16.2	-3.30
Deandre Ayton	63	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	8	-10	16.4	14.5	1.91	12.8	15.3	-2.55
Scoot Henderson	45	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	14.7	16.6	-1.85	13.8	13.6	0.16
Kris Murray	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	5	-4	12.7	16.1	-3.36	14.8	13.5	1.29
Deni Avdija	36	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	12	-18	16.3	15.4	0.93	14.0	13.5	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.47,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	92.6%
MIN 118, POR 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.6,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.94,0.96,1	92.6%
ATL 100, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.32,0.58,0.43,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.92,1	92.0%