NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	121		Excitement	6.0 [635]		MVP	Gradey Dick (TOR): +12.2%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	1.6 [884]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -22.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.03	0.04	19	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	21	56%	0.12	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	86%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	13	61%	0.12	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	11	71%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.08	0.02	17	44%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gradey Dick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	70%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	12	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	93%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	79%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.16,-0.24,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.15	0.02	23	44%	-0.07	3	-0.16	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	32.6	15.0	29.0	2.8	28.6	134.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -8.4%

TOR -2.5%

NYK +52.7%

NYK +3.5%

NYK +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	13.8	14.4	126.0	121.1	113.0
season	15.3	13.9		116.0	109.0
opponent	14.6	14.2		113.0	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	14.3	15.8	19.0	16.3
TOR	12.8	17.0	13.6	12.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	83	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-8	22	16.3	16.5	-0.27	13.9	13.6	0.32
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	78	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-7	20	16.0	17.7	-1.71	14.1	12.6	1.46
Josh Hart	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	15.9	17.6	-1.76	14.7	11.2	3.58
Ariel Hukporti	37	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	-2	10	15.6	16.8	-1.20	14.6	13.4	1.24
Jalen Brunson	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	5	-4	16.0	16.9	-0.87	14.6	12.1	2.55
Cameron Payne	29	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	1	4	17.0	16.0	0.95	11.2	15.0	-3.74
Miles McBride	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	6	-6	16.7	16.0	0.69	12.8	14.6	-1.81
Precious Achiuwa	72	73	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.41	-14	20	-34	17.2	13.5	3.79	13.2	16.1	-2.99

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.21	8	-14	22	12.4	14.7	-2.33	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Orlando Robinson	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-10	14	9.9	14.5	-4.54	18.1	16.0	2.07
Jamal Shead	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.37	10	-16	26	13.6	14.0	-0.41	16.6	16.1	0.51
Kelly Olynyk	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	13.4	14.2	-0.77	17.0	15.7	1.28
Ochai Agbaji	50	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-9	12	11.8	16.2	-4.40	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Jakob Poeltl	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	15.6	13.1	2.46	14.5	17.1	-2.62
Jonathan Mogbo	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-6	6	12.8	14.8	-1.94	17.0	15.6	1.42
Gradey Dick	58	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-4	2	14.9	12.1	2.84	16.7	15.6	1.01
Immanuel Quickley	41	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	11	-28	15.2	12.8	2.38	15.5	16.8	-1.29
Ja'Kobe Walter	53	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	2	-10	14.9	12.5	2.49	16.8	15.6	1.25
Scottie Barnes	62	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.10	-18	12	-30	14.7	12.2	2.45	16.0	16.8	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.37,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.29,0.24,0.04,0	93.0%
DAL 106, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.01,0	92.9%
TOR 116, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	92.9%