NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	116		Excitement	4.7 [845]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +15.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	111		Comeback	1.9 [440]		LVP	Marcus Smart (MEM): -16.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	18	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	11	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	14	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	14	71%	0.14	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Chris Boucher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jontay Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.01	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	12	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	18	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	18	57%	0.06	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.13	-0.03	0.10	18	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	10	26%	-0.12	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	25.3	15.3	33.5	2.5	27.7	132.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.7%

TOR +9.8%

TOR +8.8%

MEM -6.7%

MEM -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	14.5	113.7	107.8	113.9
season	14.0	14.8		111.3	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		113.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.1	14.1	12.8	17.4	14.0
MEM	14.0	13.6	15.4	13.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-6	17	13.7	14.7	-1.09	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Dennis Schroder	62	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	0	5	13.8	14.2	-0.41	13.9	14.4	-0.42
Scottie Barnes	84	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	14.4	12.1	2.29	14.4	12.9	1.47
Pascal Siakam	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	15.1	12.1	3.06	13.6	14.9	-1.39
RJ Barrett	69	72	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	7	-9	13.6	14.9	-1.34	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Chris Boucher	27	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-5	15	13.2	14.3	-1.06	16.2	13.3	2.86
Jakob Poeltl	73	73	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.53	-11	16	-27	14.5	12.9	1.59	13.3	15.9	-2.59
Jontay Porter	15	14	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	-4	13	13.9	14.0	-0.16	14.5	14.0	0.47
Gary Trent Jr.	46	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	3	-1	12.8	14.9	-2.10	14.7	13.5	1.22

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	17	16	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	15.4	13.8	1.57	13.3	14.1	-0.82
Santi Aldama	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-7	9	13.2	14.8	-1.51	14.1	13.9	0.24
Marcus Smart	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-16	27	13.3	15.8	-2.53	14.7	12.2	2.50
David Roddy	17	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	5	-15	14.6	14.0	0.66	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Jaren Jackson Jr.	76	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-10	15	14.0	14.3	-0.22	14.7	11.9	2.76
Xavier Tillman	53	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	10	-25	15.3	12.9	2.40	12.7	15.3	-2.63
Desmond Bane	82	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-10	15	13.2	17.5	-4.24	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Ziaire Williams	39	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-4	3	13.6	14.4	-0.73	14.7	13.6	1.07
Luke Kennard	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	12	-29	15.4	13.2	2.15	12.7	14.8	-2.06
Ja Morant	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	14.6	12.7	1.96	14.1	13.7	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0	95.1%
SAC 106, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 87, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	95.0%