NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	112		Excitement	9.7 [106]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +14.7%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	45.7 [70]		LVP	Keyonte George (UTA): -23.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.12,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	14	65%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Aaron Nesmith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	76%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Thomas Bryant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.05	0.15	0.01	12	36%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.27,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.01	15	53%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jarace Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Ben Sheppard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	18	55%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.06	-0.00	11	59%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.18
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.08	-0.12	0.02	17	58%	0.08	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	53%	-0.01	3	-0.08	7	43%	-0.06
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.19	-0.06	15	47%	-0.06	6	-0.17	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	25.5	14.4	30.5	2.5	37.2	142.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.6%

IND +12.0%

UTA -50.0%

IND +37.2%

IND +19.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	12.2	15.4	14.4	107.7	105.7	113.1
season	13.9	14.8		115.3	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.7		119.0	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	11.7	13.3	11.0	12.2
UTA	15.3	15.0	14.9	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	59	57	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.51	10	-9	19	10.7	14.1	-3.40	15.6	15.1	0.55
Pascal Siakam	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.54	1	0	1	12.1	12.3	-0.20	15.4	15.2	0.26
Thomas Bryant	52	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.58	-4	5	-9	12.8	11.6	1.25	15.8	14.9	0.97
Andrew Nembhard	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.66	-7	8	-15	13.0	10.9	2.10	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Tyrese Haliburton	70	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.50	-4	5	-9	13.0	10.5	2.46	15.3	15.4	-0.06
T.J. McConnell	33	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-6	13	10.8	12.8	-2.04	15.7	15.2	0.54
Obi Toppin	44	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-5	11	10.2	13.7	-3.51	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Ben Sheppard	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.14	6	-5	11	10.7	13.2	-2.49	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Jarace Walker	39	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.12	-1	2	-3	13.7	11.2	2.50	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Bennedict Mathurin	45	48	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.04	-9	10	-19	14.1	10.7	3.40	15.1	15.6	-0.55

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Collier	72	70	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-5	9	14.8	16.6	-1.81	12.6	11.4	1.19
Brice Sensabaugh	34	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	2	-5	14.8	15.6	-0.80	11.0	12.8	-1.81
Micah Potter	25	24	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	0	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.27	11.9	12.3	-0.40
Collin Sexton	7	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	16.4	15.3	1.14	13.2	12.1	1.07
Kyle Filipowski	32	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	5	-11	14.7	15.6	-0.88	10.7	12.9	-2.24
John Collins	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.62	11	-12	23	15.4	15.3	0.06	13.2	10.2	2.96
Walker Kessler	72	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-5	9	15.8	14.4	1.46	13.1	10.5	2.60
Keyonte George	65	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.61	2	-3	5	15.8	14.6	1.23	12.2	12.1	0.17
Lauri Markkanen	72	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.64	0	-1	1	15.4	15.3	0.09	12.3	11.9	0.44
Jordan Clarkson	78	77	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.39	-14	13	-27	15.5	15.0	0.49	11.2	15.0	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.86,0.46,0.31,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.45,0.58,0	89.9%
PHI 90, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.33,0.15,0	89.3%
DEN 107, NOK 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.55,0.63,0	88.7%