NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	118		Excitement	5.6 [526]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +35.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	146.1 [37]		LVP	Ricky Council IV (PHI): -16.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35	0.21	0.19	0.05	20	78%	0.41	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Derrick White	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.22	0.04	11	77%	0.31	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.04	0.05	17	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	14	53%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Al Horford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jaden Springer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	-0.07	0.04	21	64%	0.08	2	-0.02	11	100%	0.06
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	17	43%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.07
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.02	0.08	13	72%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	9	30%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	3	-0.14	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.8	29.3	15.4	28.7	3.4	35.6	143.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +63.4%

PHI -11.5%

PHI -10.6%

BOS +9.1%

PHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.5	16.2	14.4	122.9	112.2	112.8
season	15.1	15.1		118.4	110.5
opponent	14.2	14.3		115.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	13.2	13.9	14.6	13.5
PHI	13.6	16.8	15.4	19.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	82	83	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.20	17	-9	26	13.5	13.8	-0.32	16.7	13.3	3.33
Luke Kornet	25	26	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-9	26	13.6	13.5	0.07	18.9	15.2	3.72
Sam Hauser	47	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.10	18	-10	28	12.5	14.4	-1.92	17.0	15.3	1.73
Jayson Tatum	89	90	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	6	-4	13.7	11.0	2.71	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Jrue Holiday	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.65	-10	18	-28	14.1	11.9	2.20	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Kristaps Porzingis	61	63	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	9	-10	13.8	13.0	0.76	15.8	16.7	-0.87
Derrick White	67	69	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	6	-4	13.9	12.5	1.42	15.8	17.0	-1.15
Jaden Springer	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	8	-8	11.9	13.8	-1.87	12.9	16.8	-3.92
Al Horford	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	13	-18	12.2	14.0	-1.83	14.8	16.6	-1.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adem Bona	27	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-10	12	15.3	16.5	-1.18	12.5	13.9	-1.38
Kyle Lowry	34	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.30	-10	2	-12	16.3	16.1	0.26	11.9	14.3	-2.44
Reggie Jackson	31	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.33	-14	6	-20	16.5	16.0	0.58	11.9	14.2	-2.34
Justin Edwards	89	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.48	4	-12	16	15.9	18.8	-2.89	14.1	7.9	6.20
Tyrese Maxey	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-8	8	15.7	18.4	-2.73	13.6	13.0	0.60
Guerschon Yabusele	71	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	2	-12	16.5	15.3	1.18	13.9	12.5	1.38
Ricky Council IV	69	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	-2	-4	15.9	16.7	-0.71	14.0	12.4	1.62
Kelly Oubre Jr.	87	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	-2	-4	16.8	11.0	5.80	13.6	12.5	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.87,0.77,0.59,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.77,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	91.9%
CHI 109, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.32,0.45,0.15,0.09,0	91.8%
CHA 92, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.47,0.34,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,0	91.7%