NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	112		Excitement	6.9 [486]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +20.9%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	1.2 [1220]		LVP	Nick Smith Jr. (CHA): -14.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.04	0.01	15	73%	0.25	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.04
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Amir Coffey	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.02	17	58%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Terance Mann	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	39%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	12	48%	0.08	6	-0.14	5	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	12	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Josh Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	4	125%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	27	47%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	11	41%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	12	31%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	30.2	0.2	28.3	1.0	33.3	118.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +61.9%

CHA -4.8%

LAC +3.8%

CHA -16.6%

LAC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	14.4	114.3	105.1	113.0
season	14.9	15.0		113.8	106.2
opponent	14.2	14.4		115.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	14.7	14.1	14.8	14.8
CHA	14.8	15.3	13.6	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	68	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-10	28	15.0	14.4	0.64	14.2	14.9	-0.69
James Harden	75	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	15.2	13.7	1.56	14.2	15.2	-1.07
Norman Powell	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-8	24	14.7	15.3	-0.63	15.3	11.9	3.50
Kawhi Leonard	58	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-5	18	13.8	16.3	-2.46	15.2	13.2	2.00
Ivica Zubac	66	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	1	6	14.5	15.5	-1.02	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Amir Coffey	47	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.27	-6	14	-20	15.1	14.6	0.50	14.5	14.3	0.25
Kevin Porter Jr.	38	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	10	-12	15.4	14.5	0.94	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Jordan Miller	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	11	-14	15.5	14.8	0.67	2.0	14.5	-12.52
Terance Mann	49	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	16	-24	15.1	14.6	0.47	13.6	15.1	-1.44
Kobe Brown	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	16	-24	15.1	14.8	0.34	14.3	14.4	-0.13

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	32	29	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.01	6	-14	20	13.2	15.0	-1.83	14.7	14.9	-0.27
Seth Curry	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-12	16	14.2	14.5	-0.27	15.8	14.6	1.25
Moussa Diabate	66	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-9	10	13.9	15.4	-1.50	15.0	14.5	0.55
KJ Simpson	53	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-10	12	13.5	15.5	-1.98	15.1	14.6	0.44
Miles Bridges	79	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-9	10	13.8	16.9	-3.14	15.2	13.4	1.81
DaQuan Jeffries	20	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	1	-10	16.9	13.8	3.14	13.4	15.2	-1.81
Taj Gibson	33	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	1	-10	15.4	13.9	1.50	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Josh Green	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	6	-20	14.7	14.1	0.57	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Nick Smith Jr.	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	2	-12	15.1	13.6	1.56	14.8	14.8	0.00
Vasilije Micic	60	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	6	-20	15.2	13.1	2.13	14.7	15.0	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.3%
DET 103, MIA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.47,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
LAC 100, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0	93.8%