NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	7.0 [431]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): +10.2%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	1.5 [210]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -11.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	4	87%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	18	60%	0.14	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	13	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04
Rasual Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Eric Gordon	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.03	7	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	15	55%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	20	60%	0.14	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	-0.05	0.10	-0.13	0.01	24	60%	0.06	4	-0.11	9	78%	-0.26
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	1	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.6	34.2	15.8	26.2	2.7	43.7	152.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.1%

LAC +12.7%

LAC +5.3%

LAC +8.9%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	108.7	107.6	105.7
season	15.4	15.7		104.4	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.3		99.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	17.1	17.2	17.8	16.8
CHI	14.9	16.4	12.8	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-4	9	16.8	16.8	0.01	14.9	13.1	1.84
Rasual Butler	57	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	0	1	17.4	15.8	1.56	14.6	14.4	0.11
Baron Davis	62	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-7	15	16.8	16.9	-0.11	14.5	14.4	0.11
Eric Bledsoe	38	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	0	1	16.5	17.0	-0.46	15.4	13.8	1.62
Craig Smith	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	-2	5	17.1	16.6	0.54	15.2	14.0	1.17
Ryan Gomes	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	0	1	16.2	17.4	-1.17	13.9	15.1	-1.18
DeAndre Jordan	61	59	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	7	-13	17.2	16.1	1.10	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Eric Gordon	72	72	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.51	-13	14	-27	16.6	17.6	-1.03	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Randy Foye	5	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-3	7	19.6	16.6	2.97	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Jarron Collins	8	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	0	1	13.4	17.1	-3.74	13.0	14.7	-1.67

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-7	13	8.3	14.9	-6.61	12.3	17.1	-4.77
Omer Asik	43	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-3	5	15.6	13.6	2.01	15.2	18.1	-2.88
Taj Gibson	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	7	-15	14.6	14.5	0.14	18.2	16.5	1.70
Ronnie Brewer	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	1	-3	14.0	15.0	-1.00	17.1	16.5	0.67
Keith Bogans	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	5	-11	14.9	14.4	0.50	16.4	17.0	-0.55
Kurt Thomas	28	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-2	3	14.4	14.6	-0.17	19.1	15.7	3.42
Carlos Boozer	71	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.50	9	-10	19	13.9	16.4	-2.48	16.3	18.5	-2.24
Derrick Rose	80	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.55	8	-9	17	14.1	16.9	-2.77	16.6	18.2	-1.58
CJ Watson	19	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	10	-21	16.9	13.9	3.07	18.7	16.3	2.38
Luol Deng	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-3	5	14.4	17.2	-2.84	16.9	14.4	2.53
Kyle Korver	35	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	5	-11	15.7	13.8	1.94	16.7	16.8	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
MIN 101, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
ATL 111, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.34,0.31,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%