NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	7.9 [210]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +34.0%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	4.9 [38]		LVP	Luguentz Dort (OKC): -12.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.26	0.02	0.08	29	66%	0.30	3	-0.09	21	86%	0.04
Isaiah Joe	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	11	77%	0.20	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	26	48%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Alex Caruso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.12	0.20	-0.02	15	62%	0.34	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	6	79%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.05	0.01	17	73%	0.29	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	0.00	7	78%	0.20	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.12	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.07
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	4.3	31.7	16.2	30.5	3.3	32.7	149.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +88.3%

GSW +2.0%

OKC -21.0%

OKC -13.1%

OKC -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.4	105.8	113.7	112.6
season	13.8	14.3		116.6	112.2
opponent	14.5	14.7		111.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.0	14.4	13.6	15.7	14.2
GSW	14.6	12.7	13.0	15.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	20	20	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-13	19	13.8	14.3	-0.47	14.1	13.9	0.28
Aaron Wiggins	31	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-14	21	13.9	14.3	-0.34	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Alex Caruso	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-5	3	18.0	14.1	3.86	22.0	13.8	8.16
Jaylin Williams	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-9	11	14.1	14.2	-0.12	12.5	14.6	-2.03
Ousmane Dieng	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	1	-9	16.6	13.8	2.77	12.4	14.2	-1.73
Isaiah Joe	62	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-9	11	14.5	13.6	0.94	14.3	13.4	0.96
Cason Wallace	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	1	-9	14.2	14.2	0.02	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Isaiah Hartenstein	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	1	-9	14.4	13.7	0.69	14.3	13.2	1.15
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.44	1	-8	9	13.6	16.8	-3.21	14.1	13.1	1.05
Luguentz Dort	78	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	2	-11	13.6	16.1	-2.52	14.0	13.6	0.48
Jalen Williams	72	72	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.22	-18	11	-29	14.7	13.0	1.73	13.7	14.5	-0.82

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	83	86	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-7	21	13.3	16.7	-3.40	13.8	15.8	-1.97
Kevon Looney	54	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-7	21	12.6	15.4	-2.82	15.2	13.1	2.09
Gary Payton II	56	52	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	13.1	14.9	-1.77	14.5	13.9	0.58
Buddy Hield	36	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	0	7	13.1	14.3	-1.21	13.2	14.7	-1.46
Dennis Schroder	52	54	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	14.6	13.2	1.42	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Brandin Podziemski	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	6	-5	14.2	13.8	0.42	15.3	13.6	1.71
Kyle Anderson	29	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	3	1	15.6	13.3	2.33	14.2	14.2	0.03
Moses Moody	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	2	3	15.7	13.2	2.52	15.6	13.5	2.10
Stephen Curry	74	74	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	9	-11	13.7	14.6	-0.90	13.8	15.2	-1.48
Quinten Post	19	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	18	-29	15.6	13.5	2.10	11.7	14.7	-2.96
Gui Santos	39	42	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.07	-12	19	-31	14.8	13.4	1.41	13.9	14.4	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.98,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	92.4%
OKC 103, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.96,1	91.4%
IND 88, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.91,1	91.0%