NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	6.8 [468]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +31.1%
Brooklyn Nets	96		Comeback	2.9 [793]		LVP	Devin Carter (SAC): -10.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.23	0.11	0.03	19	71%	0.31	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Keon Ellis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.08	0.04	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.14	6	-0.15	8	50%	-0.06
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.03	0.02	15	53%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Doug McDermott	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	59%	0.09	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Noah Clowney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tosan Evbuomwan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	10	62%	0.09	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	16	38%	-0.03	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	34.3	14.0	30.0	0.3	27.6	136.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +72.5%

BKN -20.2%

BKN -2.4%

SAC +4.2%

BKN -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BKN	NBA	SAC	BKN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	14.4	115.8	104.3	113.1
season	14.3	15.3		115.1	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		114.9	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.0	14.7	12.5	17.8	14.8
BKN	15.0	16.0	15.8	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	67	66	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.04	31	-17	48	14.6	15.5	-0.95	16.3	15.2	1.06
Domantas Sabonis	81	79	0.77	-0.27	1.03	-0.08	29	-15	44	14.4	17.3	-2.88	16.5	13.0	3.48
Keegan Murray	48	49	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.10	21	-7	28	13.9	15.8	-1.98	16.5	15.4	1.03
DeMar DeRozan	71	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.03	21	-7	28	15.2	13.8	1.34	17.0	13.2	3.83
Devin Carter	20	20	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	6	2	13.1	15.3	-2.13	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Keon Ellis	58	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	11	-8	15.6	13.7	1.89	16.5	15.2	1.34
De'Aaron Fox	73	70	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	14	-14	15.0	14.4	0.55	15.9	16.4	-0.49
Doug McDermott	15	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	24	-34	15.5	14.7	0.75	11.8	16.8	-5.01
Alex Len	10	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.20	-14	28	-42	18.7	14.4	4.32	10.9	16.5	-5.60
Trey Lyles	32	31	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	0.03	-19	33	-52	15.1	14.7	0.44	14.0	17.0	-2.95

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tosan Evbuomwan	57	58	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-25	36	15.4	17.0	-1.68	15.0	14.5	0.48
Day'Ron Sharpe	47	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-19	24	15.1	17.0	-1.89	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Reece Beekman	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-12	10	16.8	15.7	1.03	16.0	14.5	1.44
Keon Johnson	40	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-13	12	15.6	16.3	-0.73	15.3	14.3	1.00
Noah Clowney	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-7	0	15.6	16.1	-0.59	13.5	15.3	-1.78
Tyrese Martin	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-13	12	15.2	16.9	-1.77	14.5	15.2	-0.75
Ziaire Williams	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.2	15.8	0.37	14.8	14.8	0.02
Nic Claxton	45	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	5	-24	17.0	15.1	1.89	15.7	13.9	1.78
D'Angelo Russell	55	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	5	-24	16.3	15.6	0.66	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Jalen Wilson	75	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.10	-25	11	-36	16.8	12.2	4.60	14.9	14.6	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.61,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 104, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0	93.6%
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	91.9%
GSW 118, CLE 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.6%