NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	104		Excitement	6.0 [592]		MVP	Darren Collison (NOH): +23.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	99		Comeback	3.6 [213]		LVP	Ronald Murray (CHA): -8.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24	0.09	0.12	-0.03	17	62%	0.28	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	12	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	7	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
David West	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.03	14	57%	0.15	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	6	93%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	9	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	17	67%	0.19	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	6	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	42%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.01	2	-0.07	5	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.7	27.0	15.6	29.3	2.7	33.0	133.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +36.2%

NOH +4.4%

CHA -1.5%

NOH +8.6%

NOH +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHA	NBA	NOH	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	15.3	116.9	111.2	106.0
season	15.5	16.2		106.0	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.6	13.9	12.3	21.3	15.7
CHA	15.4	16.8	17.7	16.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	78	79	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-9	23	15.2	19.6	-4.46	16.7	16.4	0.26
Morris Peterson	52	54	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.17	22	-17	39	14.8	17.1	-2.27	17.7	15.0	2.64
Darren Collison	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	3	-1	16.4	11.7	4.73	16.9	15.3	1.55
Peja Stojakovic	66	65	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.25	-2	7	-9	15.7	15.8	-0.07	15.9	18.6	-2.73
James Posey	43	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	10	-15	17.2	14.4	2.77	16.7	16.6	0.16
Darius Songaila	41	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.32	-7	12	-19	17.0	14.7	2.31	17.3	16.1	1.21
Emeka Okafor	59	60	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	2	1	15.6	16.0	-0.41	16.1	17.6	-1.47
Jason Hart	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	2	1	11.7	16.4	-4.73	15.3	16.9	-1.55
Julian Wright	17	17	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	10	-15	15.1	15.9	-0.83	15.9	16.8	-0.85

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	48	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-5	5	16.7	16.5	0.17	15.4	16.1	-0.73
D.J. Augustin	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-5	5	17.9	15.8	2.08	15.9	15.6	0.29
DeSagana Diop	4	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	21.2	16.4	4.84	10.4	16.0	-5.65
Ronald Murray	42	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-10	15	16.7	16.6	0.16	17.2	14.4	2.77
Stephen Graham	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	3	-11	16.7	16.6	0.13	14.7	16.1	-1.46
Stephen Jackson	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.7	16.5	0.20	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Boris Diaw	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-4	3	16.1	23.3	-7.19	16.2	10.7	5.44
Raymond Felton	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	15.8	17.9	-2.08	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Gerald Wallace	84	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.34	-11	6	-17	16.7	14.8	1.94	15.5	19.0	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	93.5%
LAL 94, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%
LAC 97, SAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.8%