NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	6.3 [508]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.2%
Houston Rockets	83		Comeback	3.7 [176]		LVP	Mario Elie (HOU): -18.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	13	59%	0.18	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	11	55%	0.04	3	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	16	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	10	57%	0.03	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	15	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	87%	0.15	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	47%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	13	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	47%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	9	33%	-0.11	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	26.3	16.6	24.4	2.4	32.4	129.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.1%

LAL +10.9%

HOU -12.3%

LAL +18.5%

HOU -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.6	104.4	92.2	102.5
season	14.8	15.7		110.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	13.9	14.8	18.1	15.7
HOU	15.6	14.9	17.2	17.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	80	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-2	15	15.5	17.4	-1.94	16.4	15.6	0.78
Robert Horry	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	3	5	16.0	14.6	1.39	16.6	15.2	1.48
Kobe Bryant	49	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	3	5	16.2	15.1	1.11	17.0	15.6	1.40
Rick Fox	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	2	7	16.3	13.8	2.55	15.9	17.5	-1.61
Elden Campbell	74	73	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	15.4	17.0	-1.61	16.3	16.6	-0.33
Eddie Jones	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	4	3	15.1	17.8	-2.79	15.9	17.7	-1.75
Corie Blount	26	27	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	5	1	14.9	16.0	-1.06	17.3	15.9	1.34
Sean Rooks	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	12	-13	14.2	15.7	-1.49	11.7	16.5	-4.78
Derek Fisher	10	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	13	-15	17.4	15.5	1.94	15.6	16.4	-0.78

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-13	15	9.9	16.9	-7.01	10.6	16.1	-5.54
Matt Maloney	44	44	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-13	15	15.4	17.2	-1.88	14.5	16.8	-2.39
Clyde Drexler	77	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-10	9	16.2	16.8	-0.61	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Mario Elie	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	15.6	19.9	-4.32	15.0	18.7	-3.66
Emanual Davis	27	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	18.1	15.5	2.61	18.1	14.6	3.48
Eddie Johnson	13	13	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	16.8	16.2	0.61	16.1	15.6	0.47
Charles Barkley	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	16.5	14.9	1.62	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Kevin Willis	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	0	-11	16.4	16.1	0.31	14.8	17.5	-2.66
Matt Bullard	33	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	17.0	15.9	1.07	18.3	14.0	4.27
Brent Price	35	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	17.7	15.4	2.32	16.7	15.0	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 110, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
NOH 104, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0	93.1%
NYK 120, ORL 113	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.17,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.8%