NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Excitement	5.3 [761]		MVP	Toumani Camara (POR): +17.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	2.0 [1175]		LVP	Robert Williams III (POR): -13.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Joe	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.01	-0.04	11	70%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	25	59%	0.17	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
Jalen Williams	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	19	52%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Kenrich Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	9	44%	-0.06
Ousmane Dieng	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toumani Camara	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	11	92%	0.23	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.01	-0.00	16	74%	0.18	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.04	10	54%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	17	62%	0.06	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	32.7	14.6	29.2	2.4	33.5	140.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +19.8%

OKC +5.1%

OKC +11.1%

OKC +13.6%

OKC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	14.4	125.5	112.5	113.0
season	13.8	14.3		117.4	110.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		113.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	12.0	15.3	18.8	15.0
POR	16.4	16.8	16.0	12.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	43	46	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.00	21	-11	32	16.0	14.3	1.70	15.4	15.2	0.21
Isaiah Joe	46	47	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.05	17	-7	24	16.6	13.5	3.05	14.5	16.1	-1.59
Isaiah Hartenstein	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-2	14	15.6	13.9	1.68	16.3	13.3	2.97
Jalen Williams	71	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	14.7	15.9	-1.17	16.1	12.5	3.55
Kenrich Williams	27	30	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	0	10	14.5	15.2	-0.72	14.9	15.5	-0.55
Ousmane Dieng	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	5	0	14.0	15.3	-1.39	17.0	14.8	2.20
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	75	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	14	-18	14.8	16.0	-1.23	14.6	17.7	-3.11
Jaylin Williams	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	13.8	15.6	-1.84	14.2	15.8	-1.62
Cason Wallace	61	61	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.36	-12	22	-34	15.5	14.2	1.26	14.3	17.0	-2.66
Aaron Wiggins	35	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	18	-26	13.3	16.1	-2.74	16.1	14.8	1.28

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Clingan	40	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-15	20	15.9	14.8	1.15	15.6	14.6	1.01
Jerami Grant	59	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-18	26	14.5	16.5	-2.05	15.8	13.8	1.94
Anfernee Simons	72	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-16	22	14.6	17.2	-2.57	15.2	14.6	0.60
Kris Murray	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-4	-2	14.9	15.3	-0.43	16.0	14.9	1.07
Deni Avdija	78	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-14	18	15.0	16.6	-1.57	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Toumani Camara	69	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-11	12	15.6	14.5	1.11	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Dalano Banton	16	16	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	4	-18	15.7	15.2	0.56	13.6	15.3	-1.77
Robert Williams III	40	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	1	-12	15.7	14.9	0.80	15.0	15.0	0.03
Scoot Henderson	62	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	5	-20	14.6	16.5	-1.93	15.2	14.7	0.55
Shaedon Sharpe	35	35	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.19	-28	18	-46	17.8	13.9	3.92	13.9	15.7	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.03,0,0,0	94.0%
TOR 101, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
NJN 104, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.2%