NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	5.0 [793]		MVP	Byron Scott (LAL): +13.3%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	1.9 [360]		LVP	A.C. Green (PHX): -11.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.02	0.04	8	89%	0.15	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	51%	0.02	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	55%	-0.00	4	-0.07	5	40%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.07	15	44%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	18	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	57%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	0.07	15	52%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	26.4	15.5	24.3	2.5	34.5	129.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.6%

LAL +1.0%

LAL +10.2%

PHX -10.7%

LAL +10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.6	107.4	92.6	104.4
season	15.3	14.6		105.8	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.5	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.3	14.4	18.8	16.9	15.4
PHX	16.5	14.4	17.2	12.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	90	90	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	0	14	15.0	22.6	-7.62	15.3	9.0	6.27
Shaquille O'Neal	73	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.11	10	4	6	16.7	11.0	5.64	15.9	11.7	4.20
Nick Van Exel	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	15.9	13.5	2.44	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Elden Campbell	63	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	5	4	15.1	15.9	-0.84	16.1	12.8	3.34
Byron Scott	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	1	12	15.1	15.7	-0.63	14.2	15.8	-1.56
Jerome Kersey	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	5	4	15.5	15.3	0.17	15.0	14.9	0.15
Corie Blount	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	10	-6	13.8	16.5	-2.73	13.2	16.2	-2.91
Derek Fisher	21	19	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	10	-6	13.5	15.9	-2.44	16.1	14.6	1.46
Sean Rooks	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	2.0	15.5	-13.52	0.0	14.9	-14.94
Kobe Bryant	28	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	17	-20	17.0	14.7	2.35	12.5	16.0	-3.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayman Tisdale	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-15	16	11.8	15.1	-3.31	16.0	15.4	0.65
Chucky Brown	4	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-9	4	18.7	14.8	3.98	9.7	15.8	-6.10
Robert Horry	68	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	14.6	15.9	-1.28	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Joe Kleine	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-12	10	14.5	15.3	-0.83	17.0	14.1	2.92
A.C. Green	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-6	-2	16.8	13.2	3.62	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Danny Manning	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-7	0	16.2	12.8	3.34	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Rex Chapman	67	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	15.1	14.5	0.62	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Wesley Person	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	14.9	14.9	-0.02	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Steve Nash	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-1	-12	13.6	16.1	-2.48	15.6	15.2	0.41
Michael Finley	66	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-3	-8	13.9	17.3	-3.42	15.7	14.5	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
POR 95, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0,0,0	94.4%
ATL 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%