NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	3.8 [1039]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +20.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	125		Comeback	1.2 [1199]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): -10.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	73%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	110%	0.08	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Walker Kessler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	5	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Harkless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	11	36%	-0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	17	45%	-0.02	3	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Keyonte George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	15	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.11	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	14	38%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.03	0.03	14	76%	0.20	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Zach Edey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.04	0.04	8	79%	0.12	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.05	8	80%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	9	55%	0.08	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	11	71%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jay Huff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	7	27%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.4	38.1	14.8	28.2	2.3	23.3	139.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +35.1%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +7.0%

MEM +0.4%

UTA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	13.1	14.4	102.0	121.4	113.0
season	14.8	13.3		109.6	115.6
opponent	14.3	13.7		112.2	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	14.1	16.8	14.5	15.1
MEM	12.5	13.1	11.1	16.1	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Harkless	45	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-25	28	15.6	14.8	0.75	14.0	12.4	1.65
Brice Sensabaugh	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.15	-8	-14	6	15.2	15.1	0.09	11.4	13.5	-2.14
Keyonte George	69	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-15	8	15.1	15.2	-0.03	13.3	12.8	0.53
Kyle Filipowski	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-15	8	13.7	16.3	-2.62	13.3	13.0	0.31
Drew Eubanks	18	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-13	4	15.3	15.1	0.17	11.3	13.5	-2.27
Walker Kessler	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-9	-4	16.2	13.7	2.55	13.1	13.2	-0.15
Lauri Markkanen	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-11	0	15.3	14.8	0.56	13.1	13.1	0.05
Collin Sexton	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-8	-6	15.2	15.1	0.14	13.3	12.9	0.35
Svi Mykhailiuk	51	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.22	-23	1	-24	15.3	14.9	0.39	13.3	12.9	0.46
Isaiah Collier	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	-1	-20	14.5	16.8	-2.28	13.0	13.5	-0.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	55	53	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.15	24	-2	26	12.7	13.6	-0.95	16.3	13.9	2.41
Jaren Jackson Jr.	67	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-4	30	12.9	13.5	-0.63	14.5	16.4	-1.97
Zach Edey	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	3	16	13.4	12.8	0.60	16.0	14.0	1.94
Desmond Bane	62	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	10	2	12.8	13.6	-0.86	15.7	14.3	1.35
Jaylen Wells	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	12	-2	13.1	13.1	0.04	15.3	14.9	0.48
Scotty Pippen Jr.	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.16	12	10	2	13.3	13.0	0.30	14.5	15.5	-0.97
John Konchar	33	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	20	-18	14.6	12.4	2.19	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Brandon Clarke	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	17	-12	12.4	13.5	-1.09	14.5	15.5	-1.06
GG Jackson	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	20	-18	12.8	13.4	-0.57	16.3	14.1	2.13
Jay Huff	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	15.2	13.0	2.19	11.2	15.3	-4.14
Luke Kennard	45	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	23	-24	13.5	12.8	0.74	14.0	16.1	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DAL 87, UTA 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DAL 99, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%