NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	117		Excitement	4.8 [546]		MVP	Chris Boucher (TOR): +17.6%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	2.8 [130]		LVP	Bruce Brown (TOR): -16.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.23	0.01	0.07	10	88%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.03	0.03	13	77%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Davion Mitchell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	8	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	59%	0.11	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	7	29%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.03	0.02	9	40%	-0.05	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	10	76%	0.12	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.02	0.06	13	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daeqwon Plowden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	57%	0.03	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	12	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	-0.02	-0.08	12	50%	0.03	11	-0.15	8	62%	-0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.4	2.7	27.5	15.0	30.0	2.4	30.6	140.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.4%

TOR +5.7%

ATL -7.2%

TOR +0.1%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	12.6	14.4	106.4	85.5	112.6
season	14.0	13.2		109.4	110.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		113.2	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.8	13.0	13.3	15.2	13.6
ATL	12.9	13.7	13.9	10.2	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	73	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	-3	29	13.3	14.1	-0.82	12.9	11.9	1.06
Bruce Brown	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.33	27	-4	31	13.4	13.8	-0.43	12.2	13.2	-0.99
Chris Boucher	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	2	19	13.7	13.4	0.31	12.1	13.0	-0.89
Jamal Shead	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.29	21	2	19	13.1	14.1	-1.00	11.6	13.6	-2.03
Orlando Robinson	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	15	-7	13.1	14.0	-0.89	11.9	13.2	-1.24
Jakob Poeltl	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	8	7	14.0	13.1	0.89	13.2	11.9	1.24
Ja'Kobe Walter	41	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	18	-13	13.4	13.7	-0.32	11.3	13.4	-2.07
Davion Mitchell	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	21	-19	14.1	13.1	1.00	13.6	11.6	2.03
RJ Barrett	66	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	12	-1	13.9	13.0	0.94	13.5	11.4	2.10
Garrett Temple	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	13.4	13.6	-0.14	9.7	12.8	-3.12
Gradey Dick	31	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.33	-16	39	-55	13.8	13.5	0.34	14.0	12.1	1.85

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	9.7	12.8	-3.12	13.4	13.6	-0.14
Daeqwon Plowden	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-26	29	10.9	13.0	-2.08	14.7	13.3	1.39
David Roddy	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-20	17	10.7	13.0	-2.33	12.8	13.7	-0.87
Bogdan Bogdanovic	64	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.29	-16	-7	-9	11.5	14.2	-2.64	13.1	14.2	-1.05
Clint Capela	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-14	5	11.5	13.2	-1.70	12.8	13.9	-1.16
Garrison Mathews	60	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-17	11	11.5	14.0	-2.46	13.3	13.9	-0.55
Vit Krejci	77	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.24	-16	-7	-9	13.4	10.8	2.53	14.0	12.4	1.59
Onyeka Okongwu	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.21	-16	-7	-9	13.4	11.5	1.93	13.9	13.2	0.69
Dyson Daniels	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-5	-13	13.4	10.9	2.51	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	44	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-12	1	14.7	11.2	3.55	13.8	13.4	0.44
Trae Young	88	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.22	-28	5	-33	12.6	12.6	0.03	13.5	13.6	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 139, BKN 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
OKC 105, SAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 95, WAS 71	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%