NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	4.0 [1039]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +12.2%
Sacramento Kings	95		Comeback	2.9 [929]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -16.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	12	73%	0.16	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.03
Kevin Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	16	71%	0.12	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	59%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	18	45%	0.12	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	72%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	0.09	11	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	10	48%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	47%	-0.01	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	37%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.05	16	40%	-0.01	7	-0.15	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	33.2	15.6	28.5	2.4	29.6	135.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +37.6%

OKC +8.0%

OKC +0.5%

OKC +3.3%

OKC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.0	15.4	101.9	92.2	104.1
season	14.8	15.0		109.3	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.3	10.9	15.7	15.4	14.0
SAC	13.9	13.4	13.6	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-2	14	13.0	16.6	-3.60	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Russell Westbrook	69	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-5	20	13.4	15.0	-1.52	13.4	15.4	-2.07
Nick Collison	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.19	17	-7	24	14.1	13.8	0.28	14.5	13.7	0.78
Kevin Durant	72	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-1	12	13.6	14.7	-1.13	14.5	12.5	2.02
DeAndre Liggins	32	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	10	-10	14.6	13.7	0.93	13.0	14.4	-1.41
Serge Ibaka	57	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	4	2	13.6	14.4	-0.87	13.6	14.5	-0.85
Kendrick Perkins	53	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	2	6	13.2	14.8	-1.65	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Hasheem Thabeet	33	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	11	-12	14.7	13.6	1.05	14.7	13.7	0.96
Reggie Jackson	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	4	2	14.4	13.8	0.54	17.2	13.2	4.00
Thabo Sefolosha	37	36	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	10	-10	16.2	12.7	3.49	14.3	13.9	0.41
Eric Maynor	13	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	21	-32	15.9	13.7	2.26	12.1	14.2	-2.15
Perry Jones	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	23	-36	16.0	13.6	2.37	13.1	14.1	-1.07

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	29	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.30	9	-19	28	14.5	13.8	0.66	15.5	13.3	2.19
Isaiah Thomas	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-7	4	13.7	14.2	-0.49	14.3	13.6	0.72
Jimmer Fredette	35	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-13	16	15.1	13.4	1.72	14.9	13.4	1.47
Thomas Robinson	34	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	14.4	13.8	0.51	14.5	13.7	0.84
James Johnson	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-1	-8	14.0	14.0	0.02	11.9	15.4	-3.47
John Salmons	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	6	-22	14.2	13.8	0.33	14.0	13.9	0.11
Tyreke Evans	68	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-8	6	13.4	15.2	-1.85	14.3	13.2	1.16
DeMarcus Cousins	72	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	13.8	14.6	-0.82	13.7	14.5	-0.87
Jason Thompson	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-8	6	13.8	14.5	-0.76	14.5	12.8	1.65
Marcus Thornton	56	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	8	-26	14.3	13.7	0.60	12.5	15.6	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 123, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DAL 111, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
SAS 95, WAS 71	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%