NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	4.2 [981]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +14.0%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	1.9 [988]		LVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): -9.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	16	61%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	12	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	21	46%	0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
Payton Pritchard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	8	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	22	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.11	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jazian Gortman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	0.13	12	71%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	13	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	23	48%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	7%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	2.8	27.2	16.3	30.6	3.3	34.5	146.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.0%

DAL -0.6%

DAL -4.7%

BOS +21.5%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.4	124.5	109.2	113.0
season	15.3	14.3		118.3	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.6		114.4	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	13.6	14.8	17.2	15.0
DAL	14.3	15.2	15.2	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	53	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.08	21	-6	27	14.5	15.6	-1.03	14.8	13.9	0.84
Luke Kornet	31	32	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	-6	27	14.7	15.1	-0.47	16.7	13.2	3.51
Derrick White	77	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	8	-1	14.8	15.9	-1.15	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Jaylen Brown	63	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	5	5	14.9	15.1	-0.18	14.4	14.3	0.14
Al Horford	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	-1	17	14.9	15.0	-0.13	15.4	13.8	1.55
Jrue Holiday	63	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	11	-7	15.0	15.0	-0.04	13.9	15.3	-1.45
Kristaps Porzingis	59	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	14	-13	15.5	14.3	1.19	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Jayson Tatum	74	72	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	19	-23	15.1	14.7	0.44	13.7	16.4	-2.77
Sam Hauser	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	16	-17	15.8	14.7	1.18	13.4	14.8	-1.47
Jordan Walsh	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	15.5	15.0	0.51	20.7	14.2	6.48
Jaden Springer	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	15.5	15.0	0.51	20.7	14.2	6.48

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jazian Gortman	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	20.7	14.2	6.48	15.5	15.0	0.51
Brandon Williams	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	20.7	14.2	6.48	15.5	15.0	0.51
Kessler Edwards	23	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.03	-4	-11	7	14.7	14.3	0.40	18.1	14.1	3.99
Daniel Gafford	70	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-17	19	13.4	16.9	-3.51	14.8	15.4	-0.55
Spencer Dinwiddie	55	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-18	21	13.9	15.0	-1.13	15.0	15.0	-0.08
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	8	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-7	-1	20.4	13.9	6.52	12.0	15.2	-3.20
Jaden Hardy	30	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-10	5	13.6	14.7	-1.18	15.6	14.7	0.93
Klay Thompson	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-11	7	14.5	14.3	0.21	14.1	16.3	-2.22
Kyrie Irving	86	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-6	-3	13.8	18.5	-4.69	15.3	12.9	2.36
Quentin Grimes	50	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	5	-25	15.2	13.6	1.58	15.5	14.5	1.02
Maxi Kleber	21	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.17	-19	4	-23	17.4	13.6	3.87	13.7	15.4	-1.64
P.J. Washington	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-4	-7	14.0	16.4	-2.38	14.7	17.0	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 120, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
WAS 112, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MIA 102, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%