NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Excitement	4.5 [919]		MVP	Rashad McCants (MIN): +13.8%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.8 [212]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -10.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.22	-0.00	0.08	12	96%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	92%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.11	2	-0.01	11	82%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	11	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	13	77%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	10	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	22	52%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	6	21%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	0.10	21	57%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	34.4	17.4	27.5	2.4	34.6	142.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.9%

MIN +11.6%

NYK -17.5%

MIN +8.9%

NYK -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	15.5	120.0	105.9	106.4
season	15.8	13.8		104.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	11.9	15.5	18.0	14.9
NYK	12.9	13.3	14.5	14.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	80	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-1	15	15.4	12.7	2.70	13.7	14.3	-0.67
Rashad McCants	43	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	1	11	14.0	15.5	-1.43	14.3	13.4	0.92
Brian Cardinal	20	22	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	-2	17	10.3	16.0	-5.70	13.3	13.9	-0.68
Kevin Ollie	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	0	13	14.7	15.0	-0.26	14.0	13.7	0.29
Sebastian Telfair	67	68	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	11	-9	14.9	14.8	0.06	13.7	14.1	-0.38
Kevin Love	19	19	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	11	-9	12.3	15.5	-3.21	15.3	13.5	1.86
Ryan Gomes	72	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	8	-3	15.6	13.0	2.63	13.5	14.6	-1.18
Randy Foye	67	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	10	-7	16.2	12.2	3.95	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Rodney Carney	30	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	14	-15	11.6	16.3	-4.70	13.7	13.9	-0.18
Craig Smith	61	62	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	13	-13	16.4	12.4	4.02	14.0	13.4	0.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Roberson	5	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-10	7	13.2	13.8	-0.63	6.3	15.1	-8.79
Tim Thomas	56	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-12	11	13.2	14.6	-1.36	15.9	13.6	2.36
Jared Jeffries	68	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-13	13	13.8	13.8	-0.07	15.4	13.9	1.48
Al Harrington	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	13.9	13.6	0.27	15.0	14.5	0.53
Chris Duhon	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	13.7	14.0	-0.29	13.7	16.5	-2.77
Wilson Chandler	91	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-2	-9	14.0	12.3	1.67	15.2	12.0	3.18
David Lee	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	4	-21	13.8	13.9	-0.18	13.9	17.6	-3.67
Nate Robinson	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.07	-17	4	-21	14.2	12.6	1.54	15.3	13.4	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
PHI 103, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
UTA 117, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%