inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 104 Excitement4.0 [1010] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +13.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 133 Comeback1.0 [590] LVPJulian Strawther (DEN): -7.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.000.011674%0.172-0.032100%0.01
Christian Braun0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.03859%0.071-0.001100%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.001059%0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.011055%0.031-0.0200%0.00
PJ Hall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Hunter Tyson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0000.0020%0.00
Jalen Pickett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.011062%0.064-0.101100%0.01
Nikola Jokic-0.040,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.041374%0.087-0.1210%-0.01
Julian Strawther-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.14-0.00-0.06712%-0.062-0.0220%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.00881%0.1200.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.030.04874%0.1200.00367%0.00
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.02965%0.092-0.022100%0.01
Rob Dillingham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.090.01-0.14956%0.116-0.0500%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.00771%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.053150%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.140.000.102368%0.093-0.05475%0.00
Josh Minott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.030.03362%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jaylen Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Luka Garza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Leonard Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julius Randle0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.002050%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.827.414.529.22.630.2130.7
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +28.0%
MIN +4.6%
MIN +3.7%
MIN +10.3%
MIN +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game14.115.014.4104.0135.7113.0
season14.214.7117.1114.8
opponent14.714.5110.2114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.812.714.015.014.1
MIN14.016.116.113.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeAndre Jordan10100.00-0.500.50-0.062-313318.013.74.3018.314.63.71
PJ Hall11120.00-0.500.500.12-4-252112.714.3-1.5813.215.2-1.96
Hunter Tyson11120.00-0.500.500.12-4-252112.714.3-1.5813.215.2-1.96
Jalen Pickett11120.00-0.500.500.12-4-252112.714.3-1.5813.215.2-1.96
Zeke Nnaji11120.00-0.500.500.12-4-252112.714.3-1.5813.215.2-1.96
Julian Strawther3837-0.15-0.350.200.20-12-17514.713.80.8515.114.90.27
Peyton Watson3735-0.17-0.330.150.09-9-201114.613.90.6916.514.12.36
Aaron Gordon5049-0.21-0.290.070.08-10-19913.614.7-1.1016.014.02.02
Russell Westbrook6058-0.30-0.20-0.110.20-17-12-514.214.00.2614.116.2-2.16
Michael Porter Jr.6361-0.31-0.19-0.130.18-17-12-515.012.62.4414.915.1-0.22
Jamal Murray7270-0.47-0.03-0.440.21-23-6-1714.513.11.3715.314.21.06
Christian Braun6261-0.48-0.02-0.460.20-23-6-1713.615.0-1.3614.815.3-0.57
Nikola Jokic7068-0.48-0.02-0.470.22-24-5-1913.415.8-2.3914.815.4-0.57

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gobert62640.55-0.050.60-0.212632315.014.90.1314.513.60.90
Anthony Edwards69710.480.020.47-0.312722514.915.2-0.3413.515.6-2.00
Jaden McDaniels65670.450.050.40-0.282542115.015.0-0.0514.513.41.14
Mike Conley47480.410.090.32-0.272361714.715.2-0.5114.513.80.75
Julius Randle64670.280.220.06-0.191613314.815.2-0.3614.014.4-0.44
Naz Reid48490.170.33-0.16-0.241415-116.113.82.3114.913.41.51
Nickeil Alexander-Walker41420.090.41-0.32-0.05524-1915.914.31.5614.314.00.23
Rob Dillingham40420.070.43-0.37-0.14722-1515.014.90.0514.214.10.06
Jaylen Clark11100.000.50-0.50-0.03128-2712.615.3-2.6311.714.4-2.70
Luka Garza11100.000.50-0.50-0.03128-2712.615.3-2.6311.714.4-2.70
Leonard Miller11100.000.50-0.50-0.03128-2712.615.3-2.6311.714.4-2.70
Josh Minott2120-0.000.50-0.500.03-130-3115.314.90.4614.813.90.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 69, SAS 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
LAC 109, UTA 1260.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
MIL 83, CLE 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%