NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	122		Excitement	9.6 [76]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): +22.8%
Atlanta Hawks	119		Comeback	7.3 [85]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -21.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.08	-0.03	10	77%	0.25	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Barnes	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.08	0.09	0.03	17	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.22,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	9	75%	0.24	5	-0.10	2	0%	-0.05
Bruce Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	12	72%	0.18	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	4	92%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Gradey Dick	0.00	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.07	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	0.07	-0.06	0.06	10	74%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Shead	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.09	0.02	12	79%	0.29	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	79%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	-0.11	0.01	14	67%	0.09	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	19	43%	-0.14	3	-0.08	4	50%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	27.5	15.3	25.5	2.3	33.4	133.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +64.5%

ATL -9.1%

ATL -3.2%

ATL -5.3%

TOR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.0	14.4	118.4	111.2	112.6
season	14.0	13.2		109.4	110.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		113.2	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	14.1	15.2	15.0	14.4
ATL	13.1	11.7	13.1	14.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davion Mitchell	69	72	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.49	17	-14	31	13.5	16.4	-2.85	13.2	12.7	0.52
Jakob Poeltl	60	62	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.56	6	-3	9	14.2	14.8	-0.67	13.7	12.1	1.63
Scottie Barnes	84	90	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-8	19	14.0	16.5	-2.55	12.5	15.9	-3.42
Gradey Dick	64	67	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	14.2	14.9	-0.73	14.2	11.0	3.21
RJ Barrett	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-2	7	14.3	14.8	-0.47	14.1	10.3	3.81
Kelly Olynyk	30	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	14.7	14.3	0.40	11.3	13.7	-2.47
Ja'Kobe Walter	14	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	8	-13	15.4	14.3	1.05	11.5	13.3	-1.77
Bruce Brown	45	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	11	-19	15.1	13.9	1.18	11.6	14.0	-2.43
Jamal Shead	34	35	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	-0.08	-14	17	-31	16.4	13.5	2.85	12.7	13.2	-0.52
Chris Boucher	40	39	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.18	-11	14	-25	15.2	13.9	1.31	12.7	13.2	-0.54

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Roddy	14	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	10.9	13.3	-2.39	15.4	14.3	1.12
Dominick Barlow	44	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-4	5	10.7	14.6	-3.95	14.0	14.7	-0.77
Garrison Mathews	25	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-3	3	12.4	13.2	-0.74	14.7	14.4	0.36
Vit Krejci	55	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-1	-1	13.7	12.2	1.51	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Jalen Johnson	26	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	7	-17	12.5	13.2	-0.62	13.0	14.9	-1.96
Bogdan Bogdanovic	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.45	6	-9	15	13.0	12.9	0.10	15.2	12.9	2.29
Dyson Daniels	79	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	14.0	10.3	3.69	14.7	13.8	0.91
De'Andre Hunter	70	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-2	1	12.7	13.6	-0.85	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Onyeka Okongwu	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	3	-9	14.6	10.7	3.95	14.8	14.0	0.78
Trae Young	90	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	5	-13	12.5	15.5	-3.00	14.0	16.9	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.63,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.54,0.36,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, POR 87	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.18,0	89.5%
DAL 92, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.14,0.02,0	89.4%
SEA 97, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.32,0.43,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.08,0	89.4%