NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	97		Excitement	8.3 [198]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +22.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	4.2 [178]		LVP	Shane Battier (MEM): -18.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.13	-0.00	14	68%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.15,0.14	-0.03	0.15	-0.01	5	81%	0.25	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.04	0.09	-0.00	4	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.08
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Jerome James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.09	0.09	-0.02	19	47%	0.21	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	79%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	16	51%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	0.04
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.06
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	10	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	5	58%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	8	41%	-0.06	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	5	29%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	0%	-0.09
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	11	33%	-0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	27.0	15.8	25.1	2.5	46.4	143.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +100.0%

MEM -13.0%

MEM -35.0%

MEM -4.4%

SEA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MEM	NBA	SEA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.7	107.8	103.3	100.5
season	15.6	15.3		105.0	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.5	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.8	16.2	18.8	14.8	16.6
MEM	15.2	14.5	15.5	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	58	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.59	10	-7	17	15.3	18.6	-3.34	15.4	14.9	0.57
Ray Allen	78	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-5	13	16.5	17.2	-0.67	15.6	12.9	2.68
Rashard Lewis	70	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	1	1	17.1	14.6	2.49	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Brent Barry	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.45	-2	5	-7	17.0	15.9	1.06	15.6	14.6	1.04
Antonio Daniels	31	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	4	-5	15.0	17.4	-2.47	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Vitaly Potapenko	46	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	5	-7	17.0	16.2	0.80	16.9	13.7	3.14
Jerome James	39	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	3	-3	16.8	16.4	0.36	14.4	15.9	-1.55
Ronald Murray	35	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	-1	5	15.6	17.2	-1.66	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Reggie Evans	38	37	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.19	-4	7	-11	18.6	15.1	3.54	14.7	15.6	-0.91

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	38	39	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-8	13	15.3	15.2	0.17	15.9	17.1	-1.27
Jake Tsakalidis	22	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-7	11	15.1	15.3	-0.14	18.1	16.1	2.07
Theron Smith	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	14.7	15.5	-0.76	15.7	17.0	-1.38
Bonzi Wells	31	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	16.8	14.4	2.37	17.2	16.2	1.03
Stromile Swift	31	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	3	-9	15.9	14.9	1.05	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Shane Battier	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-5	7	14.0	17.6	-3.58	16.5	16.8	-0.31
James Posey	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-7	11	15.4	14.8	0.61	16.8	16.0	0.76
Bo Outlaw	57	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	14.7	16.2	-1.54	16.0	17.5	-1.51
Pau Gasol	72	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	15.4	14.5	0.90	16.7	16.3	0.37
Jason Williams	53	51	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.45	-8	5	-13	15.2	15.3	-0.17	17.1	15.9	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.32,0.43,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.83,0.69,0.15,0	91.4%
POR 90, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.27,0	91.1%
UTA 103, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	90.9%