NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	7.3 [260]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +27.5%
New York Knicks	119		Comeback	2.7 [449]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): -15.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.14,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	14	65%	0.20	2	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	9	60%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	40%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dyson Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Trae Young	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	22	54%	0.11	9	-0.24	6	83%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.09	-0.01	18	72%	0.35	3	-0.08	11	64%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	17	74%	0.25	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	18	34%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	1.7	34.0	14.8	27.0	1.8	32.3	143.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +15.6%

NYK +0.6%

NYK +1.2%

NYK +29.8%

NYK +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	14.4	111.1	120.2	112.6
season	13.2	15.2		110.6	119.2
opponent	14.1	14.3		113.4	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.3	14.0	13.2	14.4	13.7
NYK	15.5	14.2	15.6	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	59	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-17	25	13.6	13.8	-0.24	16.2	14.2	1.99
De'Andre Hunter	61	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-10	11	13.2	14.4	-1.20	15.6	15.0	0.61
Garrison Mathews	26	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-4	-1	13.4	13.8	-0.39	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Dyson Daniels	61	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-11	13	13.3	14.3	-1.03	16.3	13.7	2.67
Trae Young	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	13.8	13.6	0.18	15.4	15.2	0.25
Vit Krejci	70	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-8	7	13.6	13.9	-0.32	15.7	14.7	0.94
Jalen Johnson	74	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	4	-17	14.2	12.3	1.86	14.7	17.1	-2.32
Clint Capela	40	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	8	-25	13.8	13.6	0.24	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Bogdan Bogdanovic	31	32	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	6	-21	14.6	13.3	1.32	13.9	16.1	-2.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	15.0	16.8	-1.82	14.0	12.6	1.44
OG Anunoby	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	3	3	15.5	14.6	0.92	13.6	14.3	-0.66
Miles McBride	41	43	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	-6	21	14.5	16.0	-1.57	14.4	13.2	1.22
Cameron Payne	27	27	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-6	21	13.3	16.2	-2.92	14.9	13.3	1.62
Mikal Bridges	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.24	1	8	-7	16.1	14.4	1.71	13.6	13.9	-0.27
Josh Hart	76	76	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	12	-15	16.0	13.2	2.82	13.2	15.3	-2.08
Jalen Brunson	79	78	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	13	-17	15.9	13.2	2.74	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Precious Achiuwa	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	5	-1	15.4	15.4	-0.05	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Landry Shamet	22	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	9	-9	14.5	15.6	-1.08	14.5	13.5	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
MEM 104, IND 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%
ATL 100, DEN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%