NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	5.6 [335]		MVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): +14.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	3.7 [63]		LVP	Toumani Camara (POR): -10.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Zach LaVine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	21	57%	0.12	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Dalen Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	54%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.08	11	58%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Josh Giddey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	10	41%	-0.07	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.05	15	66%	0.19	4	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	11	64%	0.15	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Deni Avdija	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	16	61%	0.16	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	18	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	15	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.5	15.3	29.7	2.5	35.5	138.3
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +18.7%

POR +2.8%

POR +17.5%

POR +9.7%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	14.4	99.0	110.8	112.2
season	13.2	14.3		111.9	108.0
opponent	14.4	14.3		115.8	115.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.9	16.7	15.8	10.6	13.7
POR	15.8	11.9	12.5	17.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matas Buzelis	32	30	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.06	8	-19	27	14.0	13.6	0.41	14.7	14.2	0.44
Dalen Terry	32	32	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-14	17	13.5	13.9	-0.40	15.6	13.8	1.81
Talen Horton-Tucker	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-6	1	11.7	13.9	-2.28	15.1	14.3	0.84
Nikola Vucevic	75	75	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-11	11	13.7	14.0	-0.35	14.6	13.7	0.83
Zach LaVine	82	83	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-11	11	13.5	14.8	-1.33	14.7	12.6	2.12
Julian Phillips	9	11	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-4	-3	16.4	13.5	2.96	11.5	14.7	-3.15
Patrick Williams	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	13.8	13.7	0.11	14.5	14.2	0.26
Jalen Smith	28	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	0	-11	14.0	13.7	0.35	13.7	14.6	-0.83
Ayo Dosunmu	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	0	-11	13.8	13.7	0.08	14.7	13.7	0.97
Coby White	62	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	13.6	13.9	-0.26	13.0	16.2	-3.21
Josh Giddey	64	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	2	-15	14.0	13.3	0.75	14.2	14.5	-0.28

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-2	15	14.4	14.2	0.17	13.0	14.9	-1.85
Scoot Henderson	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	1	9	14.1	15.6	-1.57	13.8	13.7	0.06
Deandre Ayton	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	4	3	14.4	14.2	0.14	13.4	14.9	-1.44
Deni Avdija	75	76	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	14.2	14.9	-0.68	14.0	13.0	1.06
Kris Murray	34	35	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	14.4	14.3	0.09	14.1	13.6	0.47
Toumani Camara	63	63	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	8	-5	13.4	15.8	-2.38	14.4	12.7	1.67
Shaedon Sharpe	69	71	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	9	-7	15.3	12.4	2.90	13.4	14.6	-1.27
Jabari Walker	21	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	7	-3	14.2	14.4	-0.14	14.9	13.4	1.44
Dalano Banton	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	10	-9	15.6	14.1	1.57	13.7	13.8	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 95, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.0%
PHI 70, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 103, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%