NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	3.2 [537]		MVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): +10.1%
LA Clippers	116		Comeback	1.2 [451]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -7.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	14	66%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Max Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	87%	0.10	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Bronny James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	47%	0.00	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
LeBron James	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	0.00	0.06	20	54%	0.01	5	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.03	16	60%	0.11	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	17	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	13	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	19	51%	0.08	5	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	27.2	15.3	26.3	1.8	31.3	127.1
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.2%

LAL -1.1%

LAC +10.1%

LAC +11.1%

LAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.4	106.2	120.8	112.2
season	14.9	14.9		112.2	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		106.5	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	15.7	16.1	13.9	14.6
LAC	13.9	13.8	17.4	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bronny James	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	15.3	14.6	0.71	10.0	15.6	-5.59
Christian Koloko	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	15.3	14.6	0.71	10.0	15.6	-5.59
Jaxson Hayes	25	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-18	22	15.4	14.4	0.97	15.5	15.3	0.22
Gabe Vincent	43	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-14	14	16.1	13.4	2.71	14.0	16.4	-2.37
Dalton Knecht	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-17	20	17.5	13.3	4.15	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Dorian Finney-Smith	45	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-8	2	13.8	15.4	-1.51	16.4	14.6	1.78
LeBron James	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-11	8	14.3	15.7	-1.45	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Rui Hachimura	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.9	13.9	2.01
Austin Reaves	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	2	-18	13.8	17.1	-3.35	16.2	13.1	3.07
Max Christie	48	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.19	-23	9	-32	14.8	14.5	0.33	14.3	16.4	-2.10
Anthony Davis	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	4	-22	14.3	15.7	-1.32	15.7	14.2	1.52

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-4	22	16.0	13.6	2.32	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Norman Powell	74	77	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-7	28	15.6	14.7	0.87	14.3	16.1	-1.75
James Harden	78	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	1	12	15.6	14.2	1.39	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Kawhi Leonard	51	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-6	26	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Derrick Jones Jr.	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	-5	24	16.0	14.6	1.34	13.6	15.8	-2.17
Amir Coffey	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	12	-10	14.9	16.0	-1.19	15.9	12.9	2.99
Kevin Porter Jr.	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	15	-16	15.5	15.3	0.19	15.0	14.5	0.52
Nicolas Batum	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.36	-10	24	-34	15.1	15.5	-0.42	15.1	14.4	0.66
Mo Bamba	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	13	-12	14.2	15.5	-1.36	14.9	14.6	0.31
Cam Christie	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	3.0	15.6	-12.62	15.0	14.6	0.36
Kris Dunn	24	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.27	-12	26	-38	13.2	16.1	-2.81	15.7	14.3	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 80, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
HOU 114, DAL 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ORL 68, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%