NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	3.7 [1129]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +13.2%
Dallas Mavericks	129		Comeback	1.1 [1266]		LVP	Tari Eason (HOU): -7.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Usman Garuba	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	5	82%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daishen Nix	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	117%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jalen Green	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	15	61%	0.04	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
TyTy Washington Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	3	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.04	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Tari Eason	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	7	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.00	-0.05	14	53%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.06	21	65%	0.17	2	-0.04	12	75%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	8	90%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	8	94%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	15	68%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Pinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
McKinley Wright IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.6	29.9	14.6	28.4	2.6	25.2	131.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.9%

DAL +2.2%

DAL +5.3%

DAL +4.3%

HOU -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	14.4	111.8	126.5	113.4
season	14.8	15.2		109.8	115.5
opponent	14.3	13.9		115.8	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	15.1	14.6	12.7	14.5
DAL	12.3	11.6	14.8	16.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daishen Nix	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-23	31	10.1	14.9	-4.77	15.9	13.6	2.32
Boban Marjanovic	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-23	31	10.1	14.9	-4.77	15.9	13.6	2.32
TyTy Washington Jr.	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-21	27	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.7	13.4	1.31
Usman Garuba	44	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-22	29	13.4	15.3	-1.89	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Tari Eason	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-7	-1	14.3	14.6	-0.29	14.2	13.5	0.66
Bruno Fernando	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-5	-5	15.8	14.2	1.67	16.7	13.2	3.51
Kenyon Martin Jr.	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-11	7	14.9	14.2	0.66	13.4	14.0	-0.54
Garrison Mathews	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-10	5	13.7	14.9	-1.14	14.1	13.6	0.43
Eric Gordon	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-2	-11	15.3	13.4	1.95	13.9	13.6	0.34
Alperen Sengun	35	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-1	-13	15.7	13.8	1.86	12.8	14.3	-1.54
Jabari Smith Jr.	59	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-2	-11	14.9	13.9	1.04	13.2	14.5	-1.32
Jalen Green	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	1	-17	14.5	14.4	0.03	13.4	14.5	-1.09
Kevin Porter Jr.	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	6	-27	14.8	13.7	1.13	13.4	14.7	-1.31

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	68	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.17	23	-8	31	13.6	14.1	-0.43	14.8	13.7	1.17
Luka Doncic	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-4	23	13.8	13.7	0.15	15.0	13.1	1.88
Spencer Dinwiddie	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-5	25	13.8	13.7	0.06	15.2	12.7	2.52
Frank Ntilikina	38	38	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	1	13	14.1	13.6	0.57	15.6	13.8	1.78
McKinley Wright IV	51	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	6	3	13.5	14.1	-0.65	14.2	14.7	-0.55
Dwight Powell	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	2	11	12.9	14.5	-1.55	14.8	14.2	0.67
Christian Wood	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	5	5	14.2	13.5	0.75	15.2	13.9	1.33
Davis Bertans	36	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	14	-13	13.4	14.0	-0.51	14.7	14.3	0.43
Kemba Walker	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	14.1	13.6	0.46	13.0	15.0	-2.01
JaVale McGee	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	15.4	13.5	1.85	10.6	15.0	-4.41
Theo Pinson	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	15.4	13.5	1.85	10.6	15.0	-4.41
A.J. Lawson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	21.5	13.6	7.88	6.0	14.6	-8.63
Jaden Hardy	28	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	22	-29	12.9	14.1	-1.26	12.7	15.1	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, MEM 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 80, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ATL 83, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%