NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	5.6 [332]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +24.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	123		Comeback	1.6 [532]		LVP	Jeff Dowtin Jr. (PHI): -5.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	14	61%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.03	0.04	28	63%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Ricky Council IV	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Adem Bona	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Justin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pete Nance	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.24	0.05	0.04	17	71%	0.24	0	0.00	14	57%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.01	10	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	17	61%	0.13	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.02
Stanley Umude	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.04	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	28.2	15.3	26.6	2.4	30.2	129.7
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +19.7%

MIL +6.7%

MIL +13.4%

MIL +8.1%

MIL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.9	14.4	111.2	124.2	112.2
season	15.2	14.4		108.5	112.7
opponent	14.2	14.3		109.6	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.9	14.8	14.2	15.8	15.4
MIL	13.7	13.5	14.1	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-11	8	14.6	17.0	-2.42	14.0	13.6	0.39
Adem Bona	50	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-2	-10	16.0	14.7	1.33	12.6	15.2	-2.54
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-9	4	14.5	16.0	-1.47	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Ricky Council IV	59	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-8	2	16.5	13.7	2.78	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Tyrese Maxey	83	85	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-9	4	15.0	17.4	-2.40	14.2	12.1	2.02
Pete Nance	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-10	6	14.4	16.3	-1.88	15.2	12.6	2.54
Justin Edwards	65	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	0	-14	15.3	15.5	-0.18	14.0	13.7	0.32
Kelly Oubre Jr.	78	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.01	-21	7	-28	16.3	11.8	4.42	13.6	15.0	-1.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	73	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.07	25	-11	36	13.2	15.7	-2.51	16.3	12.7	3.55
Ryan Rollins	28	30	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-1	16	12.4	14.5	-2.02	16.4	14.9	1.44
Khris Middleton	52	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	6	2	14.6	13.1	1.43	14.6	16.1	-1.55
Damian Lillard	84	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	9	-4	13.8	14.4	-0.61	15.3	15.8	-0.53
Brook Lopez	75	73	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	9	-4	13.8	14.2	-0.43	15.4	15.3	0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	10	-6	14.6	13.1	1.49	14.4	16.2	-1.81
Andre Jackson Jr.	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	11	-8	14.4	13.5	0.92	15.8	15.1	0.80
Taurean Prince	48	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	7	0	13.2	14.5	-1.34	16.3	14.4	1.82
Bobby Portis	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	14	-14	14.5	13.5	1.00	14.2	16.2	-2.06
Chris Livingston	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	17.3	13.8	3.56	11.7	15.5	-3.82
Stanley Umude	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	17.3	13.8	3.56	11.7	15.5	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.65,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
LAC 95, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIN 98, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%