NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	125		Excitement	8.2 [277]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): +31.8%
Chicago Bulls	123		Comeback	2.6 [325]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -17.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	17	53%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	15	66%	0.20	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	10	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	19	51%	0.19	3	-0.12	13	85%	0.04
Josh Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Cody Martin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	12	62%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.32	0.32	0.29	0.08	0.05	25	74%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	7	106%	0.24	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.07	-0.07	15	58%	0.09	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.00	6	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	25.0	14.5	25.5	2.5	39.3	129.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.6%

CHA +1.3%

CHA +3.7%

CHA +1.0%

CHA +12.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	12.7	14.4	122.5	119.4	113.0
season	15.0	13.2		106.2	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.2		114.2	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.1	15.3	14.3	15.8	15.4
CHI	12.7	12.0	14.5	11.8	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	70	68	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-13	28	14.1	18.2	-4.13	13.3	11.6	1.71
Josh Green	65	64	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.70	4	-2	6	15.7	14.8	0.98	13.2	11.9	1.30
Mark Williams	73	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-8	18	15.5	15.2	0.25	11.9	14.7	-2.83
Nick Smith Jr.	57	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-6	14	14.8	16.1	-1.26	13.9	11.3	2.67
Vasilije Micic	42	41	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-11	24	15.1	15.6	-0.49	13.4	12.3	1.14
LaMelo Ball	69	70	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.32	-9	11	-20	15.9	14.3	1.60	11.9	14.4	-2.50
Moussa Diabate	29	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	10	-18	15.2	15.5	-0.25	14.7	11.9	2.83
Cody Martin	42	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	11	-20	16.0	14.9	1.13	11.4	13.8	-2.40
Seth Curry	36	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.23	-3	5	-8	15.1	15.6	-0.51	11.9	13.2	-1.28
Tidjane Salaun	27	30	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	13	-24	17.6	14.6	3.01	12.1	13.0	-0.93

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	53	49	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.25	16	-18	34	11.5	14.0	-2.43	16.8	14.1	2.72
Matas Buzelis	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-5	8	12.2	12.8	-0.55	17.3	15.2	2.14
Julian Phillips	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	14.3	11.9	2.47	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Dalen Terry	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	0	-2	15.0	12.4	2.60	15.7	15.3	0.36
Ayo Dosunmu	61	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.31	4	-6	10	13.0	12.3	0.67	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Nikola Vucevic	75	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-7	12	12.1	14.3	-2.14	15.5	15.2	0.29
Zach LaVine	77	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-6	10	12.0	14.9	-2.88	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Jalen Smith	28	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	5	-12	14.3	12.1	2.14	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Coby White	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-6	10	13.0	12.1	0.91	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Patrick Williams	38	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	15	-32	12.6	12.8	-0.19	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Josh Giddey	56	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.25	-16	14	-30	12.8	12.7	0.13	15.1	15.8	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.16,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.24,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	91.3%
MEM 109, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.31,0.38,0.24,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0	90.8%
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	90.7%