NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	5.0 [840]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +25.1%
LA Clippers	109		Comeback	3.1 [701]		LVP	Nikola Jovic (MIA): -22.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Herro	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.19	-0.04	0.09	20	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Kel'el Ware	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.01	0.11	11	79%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	5	30%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	9	56%	0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jovic	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.08	0.00	10	23%	-0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.26	0.08	0.09	17	85%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	17	72%	0.25	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	13	72%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.01	10	10%	-0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	22.6	15.4	24.2	1.8	30.2	121.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.9%

MIA -11.4%

LAC +9.9%

LAC +10.5%

LAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	14.4	96.1	106.9	113.0
season	15.0	14.9		111.5	113.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		109.1	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.8	15.6	14.4	12.9	14.2
LAC	16.2	13.8	11.4	15.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	34	33	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-14	17	13.9	14.3	-0.41	13.8	14.2	-0.34
Alec Burks	20	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-5	-1	17.1	13.4	3.72	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	69	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-11	11	13.6	15.4	-1.87	14.7	12.7	2.01
Terry Rozier	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	15.0	13.4	1.58	13.3	14.8	-1.53
Tyler Herro	80	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-9	7	13.5	16.6	-3.10	14.3	13.3	0.94
Duncan Robinson	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	14.4	13.9	0.43	14.4	13.8	0.55
Haywood Highsmith	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-7	3	13.7	15.8	-2.14	14.2	13.8	0.38
Nikola Jovic	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	5	-21	14.6	13.6	0.95	13.6	14.7	-1.03
Kel'el Ware	68	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.18	-14	3	-17	14.3	13.9	0.41	14.2	13.8	0.34

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Coffey	52	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	9	-7	14.5	13.6	0.94	13.7	14.6	-0.94
James Harden	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-2	15	13.9	14.5	-0.57	14.0	14.7	-0.64
Norman Powell	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	3	5	13.9	14.7	-0.82	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Kevin Porter Jr.	33	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	9	-7	13.7	14.3	-0.56	14.6	14.0	0.62
Nicolas Batum	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	8	-5	15.0	13.2	1.85	14.1	14.2	-0.18
Ivica Zubac	69	70	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	8	-5	13.8	14.6	-0.74	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Derrick Jones Jr.	32	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	3	5	14.0	14.1	-0.11	15.5	13.5	1.96
Kris Dunn	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	1	9	13.8	14.4	-0.65	14.2	14.1	0.05
Mo Bamba	16	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	7	-3	15.6	13.8	1.76	15.8	13.8	2.00
Kawhi Leonard	44	45	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	9	-7	13.6	14.4	-0.86	14.4	13.9	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
OKC 91, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.5%
PHI 76, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%