NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	127		Excitement	10.4 [26]		MVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): +30.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	125		Comeback	8.1 [89]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -38.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.15	0.01	24	60%	0.34	2	-0.08	7	71%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	6	83%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.03	-0.00	14	72%	0.31	3	-0.24	1	100%	0.02
Luke Kennard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Wells	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ja Morant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.02	-0.21	0.18	0.00	19	30%	0.11	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Zach Edey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.03	7	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.13	0.00	12	87%	0.34	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.13	-0.01	10	95%	0.32	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	6	86%	0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.13
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	-0.02	0.03	14	87%	0.22	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.17	-0.17	-0.00	-0.18	-0.00	13	60%	0.11	4	-0.29	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.38	-0.38	-0.09	-0.29	-0.00	13	45%	-0.12	6	-0.26	7	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	27.4	15.3	27.5	2.4	35.2	136.7
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -4.4%

MEM +7.7%

MEM +19.4%

MEM +23.7%

MEM +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	13.9	14.4	122.1	121.4	112.3
season	13.2	14.7		116.8	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.1		109.5	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.7	15.2	13.7	14.0	13.9
MIN	13.5	13.0	13.5	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Clarke	38	39	1.08	-0.58	1.67	0.61	16	-14	30	13.5	14.1	-0.61	14.3	13.7	0.55
Desmond Bane	70	69	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.56	4	-2	6	14.0	13.7	0.31	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Jaylen Wells	70	68	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.68	0	2	-2	13.8	14.0	-0.22	13.6	14.5	-0.87
Jaren Jackson Jr.	71	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.46	6	-4	10	13.5	14.7	-1.19	14.2	13.2	1.05
Ja Morant	63	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	1	0	13.0	15.2	-2.24	14.7	12.7	1.95
Jake LaRavia	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	-2	6	13.9	13.9	0.02	14.0	13.9	0.13
Jay Huff	20	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	8	-14	14.8	13.7	1.13	11.7	14.4	-2.69
Santi Aldama	37	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	6	-10	14.3	13.7	0.64	13.0	14.4	-1.34
Scotty Pippen Jr.	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.18	0	2	-2	14.1	13.8	0.26	14.2	13.8	0.35
Luke Kennard	47	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.11	-3	5	-8	14.9	13.1	1.84	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Zach Edey	42	41	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.17	-8	10	-18	14.1	13.8	0.31	14.8	13.4	1.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	53	53	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.16	0	-2	2	14.8	13.0	1.75	14.3	13.5	0.81
Naz Reid	61	62	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-4	6	14.2	13.6	0.63	14.3	13.2	1.08
Josh Minott	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	3	-8	10.4	14.1	-3.72	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Mike Conley	31	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-2	2	14.4	13.8	0.59	14.9	13.5	1.41
Rudy Gobert	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-5	8	14.4	13.3	1.11	14.0	13.7	0.28
Jaden McDaniels	66	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.34	1	-3	4	12.9	15.8	-2.83	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Donte DiVincenzo	80	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	-1	0	13.8	14.4	-0.63	13.9	13.9	-0.05
Anthony Edwards	84	86	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.49	-5	3	-8	14.1	13.2	0.90	13.5	15.9	-2.42
Julius Randle	74	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.56	-5	3	-8	13.7	14.6	-0.90	13.3	15.3	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.63,0.85,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.78,0.58,0	91.3%
CHI 115, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.85,0	91.1%
NYK 109, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.63,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.64,0.89,0.58,0	91.1%