NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	9.6 [112]		MVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): +34.7%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	18.5 [107]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -25.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.22	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.22	0.02	0.21	0.01	17	54%	0.31	3	-0.09	12	75%	0.13
Jalen Brunson	0.14	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.03,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	22	61%	0.26	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Mitchell Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jericho Sims	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	19	56%	0.14	5	-0.19	5	80%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	60%	0.14	2	-0.21	4	75%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	8	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.13	-0.00	12	92%	0.38	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	16	72%	0.33	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	82%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	16	38%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.15	-0.04	16	43%	-0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	10	25%	-0.26	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	30.6	15.0	29.3	2.4	39.6	145.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.8%

NYK +38.1%

NYK +2.7%

NYK +0.5%

IND -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	14.4	111.2	106.0	113.4
season	15.1	13.7		115.6	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.4		116.4	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	15.0	15.8	15.6	15.3
IND	14.5	13.2	13.0	14.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	88	88	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-8	19	15.3	15.5	-0.22	13.5	16.3	-2.88
Quentin Grimes	66	67	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.67	0	3	-3	14.8	16.4	-1.68	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Julius Randle	81	83	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.52	5	-2	7	14.8	17.7	-2.90	13.5	15.1	-1.52
Jalen Brunson	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.57	3	0	3	15.1	16.0	-0.93	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Mitchell Robinson	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.47	3	0	3	15.4	15.1	0.36	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Miles McBride	25	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.15	0	3	-3	16.0	15.1	0.93	14.4	13.6	0.79
Jericho Sims	17	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.11	-2	5	-7	17.7	14.8	2.90	15.1	13.5	1.52
Isaiah Hartenstein	31	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	5	-7	15.5	15.2	0.35	14.8	13.4	1.41
Immanuel Quickley	43	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	6	-9	15.8	14.9	0.95	14.1	13.5	0.58

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Smith	21	20	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.08	7	-10	17	13.5	13.9	-0.41	17.6	14.7	2.88
Isaiah Jackson	30	30	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.11	5	-8	13	14.5	13.5	1.00	15.3	15.3	0.04
T.J. McConnell	33	31	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.18	-5	2	-7	14.2	13.6	0.66	16.2	14.9	1.30
Bennedict Mathurin	62	59	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-9	15	14.1	13.3	0.74	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Chris Duarte	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	5	-13	14.5	13.5	0.96	17.0	14.6	2.42
Oshae Brissett	8	7	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	7	-17	16.7	13.5	3.21	11.6	15.6	-4.02
Buddy Hield	57	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-7	11	12.9	15.0	-2.15	14.7	16.3	-1.65
Andrew Nembhard	58	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	4	-11	13.8	13.8	0.02	15.4	15.2	0.17
Tyrese Haliburton	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.59	2	-5	7	13.6	14.2	-0.66	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Aaron Nesmith	65	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.60	-1	-2	1	13.8	13.9	-0.09	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Myles Turner	70	68	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.52	-8	5	-13	13.5	14.5	-1.00	15.3	15.3	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.63,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.64,0.89,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 116, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.42,0	91.0%
CHA 110, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.67,0.42,0	90.5%
DET 112, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.24,0.58,0.73,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.79,0.76,0.41,0	90.1%