NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	9.2 [153]		MVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): +46.3%
Detroit Pistons	107		Comeback	8.6 [91]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -34.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.35,0.46	0.21	0.27	0.02	12	84%	0.50	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.04
Devonte' Graham	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.02	14	57%	0.31	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	-0.00	0.03	15	74%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.08	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.06
Malik Monk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.18	0.23	-0.00	12	77%	0.43	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	4	44%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	112%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.02	-0.02	0.12	-0.11	0.03	17	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	52%	0.06	2	-0.10	7	57%	-0.10
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.34	-0.34	-0.05	-0.28	0.02	12	54%	-0.06	4	-0.28	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.7	13.8	26.8	2.5	31.3	126.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +40.2%

CHA +15.8%

DET -15.1%

CHA +10.0%

DET -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	16.7	16.0	14.2	125.0	121.6	109.6
season	15.1	15.1		105.4	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.7		111.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.4	18.0	16.6	17.0	16.7
DET	15.9	16.2	15.4	16.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	61	63	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-9	21	16.3	17.6	-1.26	16.4	14.9	1.52
Nicolas Batum	49	48	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.48	6	-3	9	16.0	17.6	-1.52	16.5	15.5	0.98
Devonte' Graham	67	67	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	16.8	16.3	0.50	16.4	14.7	1.70
Terry Rozier	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	16.9	16.1	0.79	15.3	18.0	-2.71
Bismack Biyombo	62	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-2	7	17.0	16.0	1.07	15.4	17.5	-2.05
Marvin Williams	44	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	8	-13	16.3	17.1	-0.75	16.4	15.7	0.66
Malik Monk	42	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	15.9	17.4	-1.51	16.7	15.4	1.35
Miles Bridges	50	52	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.13	-13	16	-29	18.0	15.0	3.02	15.3	17.1	-1.81

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	48	48	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.20	0	-3	3	15.5	16.6	-1.17	17.6	15.7	1.86
Svi Mykhailiuk	26	26	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-8	13	17.2	15.5	1.73	16.5	16.8	-0.36
Markieff Morris	29	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-5	7	17.1	15.5	1.68	16.4	16.9	-0.48
Christian Wood	19	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	16.7	15.8	0.86	16.8	16.7	0.11
Tony Snell	39	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-8	13	15.5	16.4	-0.85	16.9	16.6	0.34
Andre Drummond	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	15.8	16.7	-0.86	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Langston Galloway	49	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	5	-13	16.4	15.5	0.85	16.6	16.9	-0.34
Blake Griffin	59	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	2	-7	15.5	17.1	-1.68	16.9	16.4	0.48
Luke Kennard	62	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.40	-8	5	-13	15.5	17.2	-1.73	17.0	16.1	0.82
Derrick Rose	40	41	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.59	-3	0	-3	16.6	15.5	1.17	15.5	17.8	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.42,0	91.3%
CHA 85, NJN 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.73,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.57,0.41,0	91.0%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	91.0%