NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	5.7 [675]		MVP	Buddy Hield (GSW): +14.6%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.7 [466]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -10.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	15	63%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	93%	0.17	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Kevon Looney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lindy Waters III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08	-0.11	0.03	-0.00	21	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Draymond Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	8	81%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	4	90%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	21	49%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.01	0.09	21	64%	0.10	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Wendell Moore Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	6	53%	0.00	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	21%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	25.9	14.8	29.2	2.5	45.3	144.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.3%

DET -0.6%

GSW +17.7%

GSW +6.8%

DET -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DET	NBA	GSW	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.4	109.2	108.3	113.0
season	14.5	14.1		112.9	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.9	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	13.0	18.6	15.3	15.0
DET	14.0	14.2	16.4	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trayce Jackson-Davis	54	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-13	29	14.4	15.7	-1.27	15.3	14.0	1.35
Dennis Schroder	72	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-4	11	14.4	16.4	-1.94	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Gui Santos	53	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	-4	11	13.7	16.5	-2.79	14.8	14.7	0.10
Lindy Waters III	38	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	-3	9	15.6	14.5	1.06	13.9	15.3	-1.36
Draymond Green	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.38	-2	5	-7	14.7	15.5	-0.81	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Buddy Hield	65	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	3	-3	16.0	12.9	3.09	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Kyle Anderson	15	16	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	-4	11	17.7	14.5	3.28	16.2	14.4	1.82
Stephen Curry	76	74	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.49	-14	17	-31	15.0	14.9	0.06	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Pat Spencer	8	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	1	1	14.1	15.0	-0.91	19.4	14.4	5.07
Kevon Looney	42	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.31	-14	17	-31	15.5	14.5	1.03	14.4	15.0	-0.59

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Duren	65	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.42	13	-16	29	13.4	17.5	-4.02	14.9	15.1	-0.15
Wendell Moore Jr.	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	2	-7	14.5	14.7	-0.25	12.5	15.2	-2.68
Tobias Harris	68	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-11	19	13.5	17.7	-4.16	15.2	14.4	0.73
Ronald Holland II	35	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-2	1	16.8	13.6	3.21	16.2	14.2	1.93
Cade Cunningham	82	83	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.45	9	-12	21	14.2	18.1	-3.91	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Ausar Thompson	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	5	-13	13.5	15.6	-2.08	13.6	15.8	-2.11
Marcus Sasser	32	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	7	-17	15.8	14.2	1.58	14.0	15.4	-1.45
Malik Beasley	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-3	3	14.9	14.2	0.79	15.8	12.6	3.19
Simone Fontecchio	51	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	2	-7	15.9	13.4	2.46	15.0	14.9	0.17
Isaiah Stewart	31	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	13	-29	17.5	13.4	4.02	14.6	15.1	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
GSW 121, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
IND 129, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.18,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.4%