inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 113 Excitement2.4 [1260] MVPJarace Walker (IND): +9.1%
Indiana Pacers 129 Comeback1.1 [987] LVPPatrick Williams (CHI): -9.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Duarte0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01956%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Lonzo Ball0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.05642%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Matas Buzelis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jevon Carter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dalen Terry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.09489%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Jalen Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.120.000.124118%0.022-0.023100%0.00
Julian Phillips-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.04460%-0.031-0.00250%-0.00
Coby White-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.040.000.071754%-0.002-0.0310%-0.00
Zach LaVine-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.15-0.000.202067%0.003-0.05683%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.060,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01764%0.025-0.0800%0.00
Patrick Williams-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.120.00-0.03514%-0.052-0.04450%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarace Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01771%0.091-0.00333%-0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.140.000.061770%0.112-0.02333%-0.00
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.020.02570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.130.000.091665%0.0400.002100%0.00
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.03960%0.0200.00250%0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.011152%0.032-0.02580%0.01
Quenton Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Furphy00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Enrique Freeman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00360%-0.001-0.00450%-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.051231%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.060.000.081362%0.001-0.0200%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02735%0.001-0.02367%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.91.825.414.528.42.538.2134.8
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +28.4%
IND +3.0%
IND +2.7%
IND +16.1%
CHI -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIINDNBACHIINDNBA
this game13.115.014.4109.7126.5113.0
season13.213.9112.4114.9
opponent14.714.5112.8114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.012.815.011.713.1
IND14.214.814.416.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jevon Carter16150.00-0.500.50-0.207-23309.813.7-3.9116.914.72.20
Talen Horton-Tucker2220-0.00-0.500.49-0.3311-273812.413.3-0.9616.214.71.57
Lonzo Ball3940-0.05-0.450.410.16-7-9214.112.51.5515.414.70.67
Matas Buzelis2927-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-182011.113.9-2.8016.214.51.68
Chris Duarte2930-0.08-0.420.340.16-8-8012.613.3-0.7915.414.80.63
Julian Phillips3331-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-202411.214.0-2.7615.914.61.36
Jalen Smith3636-0.23-0.270.03-0.323-192211.813.8-2.0216.614.12.46
Nikola Vucevic5857-0.27-0.23-0.030.38-226-2814.511.33.2113.516.9-3.36
Dalen Terry1818-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.03-8-8010.813.6-2.7717.914.43.52
Zach LaVine7574-0.27-0.23-0.040.32-204-2414.310.04.3313.918.0-4.15
Josh Giddey4949-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-8-8013.512.80.6714.515.5-1.00
Patrick Williams4546-0.43-0.07-0.360.18-215-2614.212.31.9214.415.5-1.09
Coby White6667-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.07-13-3-1013.412.50.9014.515.9-1.45

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pascal Siakam62590.330.170.150.03106415.514.21.2213.612.41.23
T.J. McConnell36370.290.210.080.35-218-2015.114.90.1411.514.0-2.46
Obi Toppin49520.280.220.07-0.04115614.715.3-0.6112.313.9-1.56
Jarace Walker41420.260.240.020.58-1127-3817.113.63.5610.814.7-3.90
Ben Sheppard44470.250.250.000.46-723-3016.114.12.0211.214.7-3.50
Thomas Bryant59580.250.25-0.00-0.3721-52614.315.9-1.6314.611.23.36
Andrew Nembhard66660.250.25-0.00-0.3420-42414.416.1-1.7814.311.03.35
Tyrese Haliburton64640.230.27-0.03-0.5025-93413.717.2-3.5814.710.54.27
Bennedict Mathurin53510.220.28-0.07-0.4623-73014.215.9-1.6714.711.53.19
Enrique Freeman33360.140.36-0.220.40-925-3415.514.70.8211.214.1-2.87
Quenton Jackson220.000.50-0.500.00016-1629.014.714.293.013.3-10.32
Johnny Furphy110.000.50-0.500.03-117-1823.014.98.094.013.2-9.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 71, DET 850.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
PHI 86, MIN 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
DET 113, TOR 1420.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%