NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	2.3 [1252]		MVP	Precious Achiuwa (TOR): +9.4%
Toronto Raptors	142		Comeback	1.0 [1212]		LVP	Kevin Knox II (DET): -6.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	17	49%	0.03	3	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
James Wiseman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	71%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	60%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	64%	0.02	5	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Stanley Umude	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.18	0.00	0.20	6	95%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	10	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	0.00	0.07	9	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Kevin Knox II	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	11	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	77%	0.12	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	6	94%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.00	0.12	12	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	0.00	0.12	7	82%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Ron Harper Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	0.00	0.14	18	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	11	32%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	28.3	14.5	29.3	2.5	31.5	130.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.5%

TOR +3.3%

TOR +6.9%

TOR +5.4%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	13.6	13.6	14.5	106.6	134.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.0		108.4	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.3		117.6	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.7	14.4	15.2	11.2	13.6
TOR	13.5	12.3	13.0	15.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	44	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	-18	7	14.0	13.3	0.71	13.9	13.3	0.58
James Wiseman	53	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-29	29	13.2	14.0	-0.87	13.9	13.3	0.58
Jaden Ivey	62	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-29	29	12.7	14.9	-2.23	15.0	11.5	3.53
Ausar Thompson	64	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.43	-21	-8	-13	13.3	14.0	-0.61	14.4	12.3	2.10
Cade Cunningham	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.42	-22	-7	-15	13.9	13.2	0.76	13.4	13.8	-0.31
Marcus Sasser	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-22	15	13.2	13.9	-0.76	13.8	13.4	0.31
Stanley Umude	57	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-17	5	13.4	13.8	-0.35	13.4	13.8	-0.46
Marvin Bagley III	33	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.27	-21	-8	-13	15.5	12.7	2.76	11.9	14.3	-2.42
Alec Burks	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.44	-29	0	-29	14.7	12.6	2.10	11.8	15.1	-3.32
Kevin Knox II	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.21	-22	-7	-15	13.1	14.3	-1.21	13.2	14.0	-0.80

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	57	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.54	37	-8	45	12.0	15.4	-3.35	14.6	12.4	2.14
Precious Achiuwa	42	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.17	17	12	5	13.2	13.8	-0.61	13.6	13.6	0.00
Chris Boucher	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	19	-9	14.2	13.2	1.04	12.3	14.4	-2.11
Gary Trent Jr.	58	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.33	20	9	11	13.9	13.2	0.65	14.1	13.0	1.13
Malachi Flynn	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	29	-29	13.9	13.3	0.54	12.9	14.2	-1.28
Pascal Siakam	60	62	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.46	23	6	17	13.4	13.8	-0.46	14.4	12.4	2.05
OG Anunoby	61	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.25	15	14	1	14.0	13.0	0.98	13.6	13.6	0.06
Dennis Schroder	57	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.39	19	10	9	13.4	13.8	-0.35	14.3	12.8	1.54
Jakob Poeltl	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.45	21	8	13	13.5	13.7	-0.21	14.5	12.7	1.85
Gradey Dick	27	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	32	-35	13.8	13.5	0.31	11.7	14.3	-2.56
Ron Harper Jr.	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	38	-47	16.6	13.3	3.29	9.6	14.0	-4.40
Jalen McDaniels	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	34	-39	14.6	13.4	1.17	10.8	14.2	-3.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, SEA 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DET 100, PHX 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 68, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%