NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	124		Excitement	10.8 [16]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +61.3%
Utah Jazz	121		Comeback	1.6 [348]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -19.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.61	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.12,0.61	0.05	0.51	-0.05	16	57%	0.63	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.07
De'Andre Hunter	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	11	63%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Vit Krejci	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	6	108%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	11	82%	0.21	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.12	0.00	10	55%	0.19	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	13	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.17	0.30	0.00	11	75%	0.47	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.45	0.45	0.12	0.34	0.00	16	59%	0.49	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.05
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	14	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,-0.01,-0.15	-0.15	0.22	-0.31	0.06	21	73%	0.05	2	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	6	25%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	29.3	14.8	32.3	2.3	34.1	138.7
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +77.9%

UTA -25.0%

UTA -44.5%

ATL +33.6%

ATL +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	14.9	14.4	122.8	118.6	112.2
season	13.2	14.9		111.1	110.3
opponent	13.8	14.3		117.0	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	14.3	12.0	14.9	13.5
UTA	16.5	13.9	14.7	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	78	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-1	5	13.6	13.0	0.55	14.6	16.1	-1.53
Dyson Daniels	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.34	2	1	1	14.0	12.2	1.75	15.5	13.6	1.91
Bogdan Bogdanovic	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	6	-9	12.7	14.9	-2.21	13.7	17.0	-3.25
Clint Capela	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	4	-5	14.4	12.5	1.86	15.2	14.6	0.55
De'Andre Hunter	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.58	-12	15	-27	14.1	12.6	1.48	14.5	15.4	-0.85
Garrison Mathews	44	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-5	13	11.7	14.8	-3.12	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Vit Krejci	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	-4	11	14.6	12.6	1.97	17.0	13.4	3.61
Onyeka Okongwu	49	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	1	1	12.5	14.4	-1.86	14.6	15.2	-0.55
Zaccharie Risacher	49	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-5	13	13.4	13.5	-0.11	15.9	14.0	1.92

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Filipowski	36	38	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.15	12	-15	27	14.6	15.1	-0.45	13.6	13.4	0.18
Drew Eubanks	41	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-2	1	13.9	15.6	-1.75	12.7	13.9	-1.22
Patty Mills	44	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-2	1	13.3	16.1	-2.83	12.3	14.3	-2.02
Micah Potter	35	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	6	-15	14.1	15.3	-1.16	12.2	14.1	-1.91
Collin Sexton	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-7	11	15.5	14.0	1.47	14.4	12.0	2.34
Lauri Markkanen	61	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-9	15	15.5	14.0	1.43	14.3	12.2	2.10
Cody Williams	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	13.6	17.3	-3.67	13.0	14.4	-1.44
Walker Kessler	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	15.6	13.9	1.75	13.9	12.7	1.22
Johnny Juzang	56	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	14	-31	15.2	14.6	0.61	12.7	14.3	-1.67
Isaiah Collier	48	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	2	-7	17.1	12.9	4.16	14.6	12.4	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.43,0.28,0	91.4%
IND 117, CLE 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.33,0.16,0	91.2%
SAC 97, CHA 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.45,0.71,0.57,0.15,0	90.8%