inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 118 Excitement13.4 [4] MVPDomantas Sabonis (SAC): +43.2%
Sacramento Kings 123 Comeback146.1 [26] LVPJaime Jaquez Jr. (MIA): -32.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Haywood Highsmith0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.210.110.10-0.00874%0.2100.00367%-0.01
Nikola Jovic0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.01855%0.0700.006100%0.04
Terry Rozier0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.001553%0.092-0.044100%0.12
Kel'el Ware0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.02360%0.0200.00450%-0.03
Pelle Larsson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01850%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.05-0.070.00-0.011941%0.012-0.06683%-0.05
Tyler Herro-0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.240.03-0.28-0.012552%-0.213-0.0300%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.330,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.05-0.270.011547%-0.263-0.06450%-0.14

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.430.43-0.040.44-0.031654%0.586-0.14771%0.05
Keegan Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.100.13-0.041070%0.2700.0000%0.00
Keon Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.150.071168%0.262-0.09367%-0.23
Devin Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00450%0.0000.00250%-0.02
Doug McDermott00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00844%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01833%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.28,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.28,-0.4,-0.16,-0.13-0.130.03-0.130.042653%0.023-0.165100%0.02
Malik Monk0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26-0.26-0.04-0.24-0.022540%-0.181-0.08786%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game27.20.325.514.724.50.134.22.614.92.711.2158.0
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.22.315.62.315.6135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +74.6%
SAC +26.0%
MIA -16.0%
MIA -19.6%
MIA -15.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game14.914.814.4100.9105.1113.1
season15.014.3111.5115.1
opponent14.614.6114.9112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA11.713.915.316.516.414.4
SAC14.514.316.713.515.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jovic41440.21-0.710.910.210-5513.415.7-2.2715.214.60.64
Duncan Robinson51520.20-0.700.890.26-2-3114.115.5-1.3815.014.70.38
Kel'el Ware29290.08-0.580.660.14-2-3113.215.5-2.2215.114.70.41
Pelle Larsson1010-0.09-0.410.330.09-61-713.915.0-1.1114.614.9-0.25
Haywood Highsmith9290-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.430-5515.014.60.4514.914.60.36
Bam Adebayo8888-0.580.08-0.66-0.49-3-2-115.513.22.2214.715.1-0.41
Terry Rozier8684-0.610.11-0.72-0.55-2-3114.815.3-0.5114.815.0-0.24
Jaime Jaquez Jr.9291-0.630.13-0.76-0.51-4-1-315.612.53.0514.416.3-1.85
Tyler Herro8688-0.650.15-0.81-0.48-61-715.413.71.6814.914.60.32

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keegan Murray88890.92-0.421.330.4516-112714.615.4-0.7315.114.20.87
DeMar DeRozan93960.88-0.381.260.1824-194315.014.20.7315.113.91.23
Domantas Sabonis991020.68-0.180.870.3611-61714.516.8-2.3715.312.62.65
Keon Ellis95970.60-0.100.710.407-2914.616.0-1.4415.611.64.00
Malik Monk95970.60-0.100.710.407-2914.616.0-1.4415.611.64.00
Alex Len650.080.42-0.330.0323-120.214.55.6310.815.1-4.30
Devin Carter2220-0.100.60-0.71-0.05-27-916.014.61.4411.615.6-4.00
Doug McDermott54-0.160.66-0.820.02-611-1713.214.9-1.7010.515.1-4.57
Kevin Huerter3128-0.470.97-1.44-0.06-1419-3317.314.03.3012.815.6-2.75
Trey Lyles5147-0.541.04-1.580.05-2025-4514.115.4-1.2314.015.5-1.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.17,0.16,0.46,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 109, BOS 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.58,189.6%
ATL 89, CHI 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.21,0.23,0.15,086.4%
DET 113, MIN 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.41,0.16,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.92,186.2%