NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	89		Excitement	7.2 [390]		MVP	Chris Anstey (CHI): +9.0%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	2.2 [640]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -47.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	-0.08	0.08	-0.02	24	46%	0.11	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	64%	0.16	5	-0.22	2	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	10	56%	-0.03	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05
Jason Terry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	11	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	16	49%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	-0.02	9	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.08	0.03	13	43%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Dedric Willoughby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.37,-0.47,-0.47	-0.47	-0.23	-0.24	0.00	23	41%	-0.11	10	-0.37	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	26.0	16.3	24.6	2.4	35.5	128.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.6%

CHI -4.3%

CHI -10.7%

ATL +16.9%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	13.6	17.2	15.2	94.7	89.2	101.7
season	15.4	16.5		99.3	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.4	14.5	12.8	15.0	13.6
CHI	17.1	16.8	17.7	17.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	64	63	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-13	32	12.9	15.1	-2.20	17.5	16.5	0.96
Anthony Johnson	54	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-4	14	14.3	12.8	1.50	17.6	16.7	0.89
Isaiah Rider	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-7	20	12.9	16.9	-3.96	16.7	19.4	-2.65
Jim Jackson	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-1	8	14.0	13.0	0.98	17.8	16.1	1.66
Dikembe Mutombo	75	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	1	4	13.6	13.7	-0.06	17.1	17.5	-0.40
LaPhonso Ellis	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	6	-6	13.3	13.9	-0.53	16.9	17.4	-0.55
Bimbo Coles	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	7	-8	14.8	13.4	1.48	18.6	16.9	1.72
Jason Terry	40	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	16	-26	13.8	13.5	0.37	16.5	17.7	-1.15
Lorenzen Wright	40	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.14	-13	19	-32	14.3	13.1	1.20	16.7	17.5	-0.80

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	12	11	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-11	16	18.1	17.0	1.03	8.9	14.3	-5.36
Chris Carr	15	14	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-7	8	16.3	17.3	-1.01	8.5	14.5	-6.04
Dickey Simpkins	31	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	19.0	16.3	2.73	15.6	12.7	2.90
Chris Anstey	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-9	12	15.8	18.0	-2.20	14.7	13.0	1.67
Matt Maloney	66	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-7	8	17.2	17.2	-0.00	15.4	9.1	6.30
Toni Kukoc	81	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	17.5	15.1	2.41	14.7	5.7	8.96
Dedric Willoughby	34	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	3	-12	17.4	17.1	0.27	9.7	15.9	-6.21
Will Perdue	35	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	6	-18	17.6	16.9	0.67	10.7	15.4	-4.61
Elton Brand	75	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	16.8	18.6	-1.77	14.2	10.9	3.33
Metta World Peace	80	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	16.9	19.2	-2.29	13.8	12.7	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.21,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.07,0,0	92.8%
MEM 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.7%
MEM 114, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.06,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	92.6%