NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	9.3 [137]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DET): +56.0%
Detroit Pistons	118		Comeback	10.1 [334]		LVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): -12.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.34	0.25	0.13	0.04	21	86%	0.52	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	7	73%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	16	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	71%	0.15	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Donovan Clingan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	31%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.01	17	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.02	13	52%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.33,0.39,0.56,0.56,0.56	0.56	0.24	0.34	0.02	15	87%	0.56	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	8	81%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.02	0.02	-0.12	0.13	-0.01	10	21%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	0.09	-0.14	0.05	23	62%	0.03	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	27.2	14.4	28.6	2.6	31.1	128.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -29.5%

DET +16.4%

DET +49.8%

DET +9.9%

DET +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	14.4	116.2	121.6	113.1
season	14.3	14.1		110.3	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.2	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.2	14.4	14.2	15.5	14.6
DET	14.6	15.0	15.2	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Clingan	31	27	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-10	17	13.1	15.2	-2.19	15.5	14.6	0.91
Deni Avdija	64	62	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.15	8	-11	19	14.6	14.6	-0.01	14.1	16.1	-1.93
Scoot Henderson	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	7	-17	14.6	14.6	-0.00	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Kris Murray	57	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-6	9	14.2	15.1	-0.88	15.7	13.8	1.84
Shaedon Sharpe	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-4	5	15.1	10.1	4.97	14.5	18.6	-4.14
Anfernee Simons	74	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-1	-1	14.0	16.2	-2.13	15.5	12.9	2.65
Deandre Ayton	68	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	7	-17	15.2	13.1	2.19	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Toumani Camara	73	74	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.38	-12	9	-21	14.8	13.9	0.87	14.7	15.3	-0.57

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	64	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-6	15	14.5	15.5	-0.92	15.6	12.6	3.04
Tobias Harris	74	74	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-6	15	15.3	13.2	2.11	14.3	15.4	-1.17
Cade Cunningham	80	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	13.9	19.1	-5.13	15.1	12.0	3.14
Jalen Duren	55	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	14.8	14.8	-0.02	14.9	14.2	0.73
Paul Reed	12	11	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	-9	21	13.8	15.0	-1.13	17.2	14.2	2.94
Malik Beasley	59	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.60	-15	18	-33	15.1	14.4	0.62	14.0	15.4	-1.39
Wendell Moore Jr.	6	7	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.17	10	-7	17	10.7	15.1	-4.43	18.0	14.3	3.70
Marcus Sasser	30	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	2	-1	16.1	14.2	1.89	13.9	14.9	-0.96
Simone Fontecchio	43	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	15.3	14.5	0.82	14.2	14.9	-0.63
Isaiah Stewart	30	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	14	-25	15.2	14.6	0.59	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Ronald Holland II	30	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	10	-17	15.0	14.7	0.30	13.1	15.3	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.76,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.52,0.31,0.72,0.64,0.95,1	91.5%
MIN 82, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,1	91.2%
NOH 77, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.47,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.57,0.92,1	90.6%