NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	6.2 [558]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +28.3%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	1.2 [855]		LVP	Dalton Knecht (LAL): -5.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	18	68%	0.23	4	-0.06	8	100%	0.08
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.00	9	68%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Austin Reaves	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	-0.04	0.05	13	64%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Max Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	8	70%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Cam Reddish	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.26,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.21	0.05	-0.02	24	63%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.01	19	55%	0.15	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.03
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.4	14.3	29.7	2.3	33.7	136.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.5%

LAL -20.8%

HOU +27.9%

HOU +13.1%

LAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	14.4	123.7	128.0	113.1
season	14.9	14.7		114.3	114.2
opponent	14.2	14.2		109.6	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	16.4	13.4	13.6	14.8
HOU	14.7	17.1	16.6	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	54	52	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-8	12	15.1	14.4	0.67	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Austin Reaves	78	79	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.42	12	-16	28	15.0	13.6	1.40	16.3	15.4	0.98
Anthony Davis	74	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-11	18	14.7	15.1	-0.42	16.2	16.2	-0.01
Max Christie	77	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.52	14	-18	32	14.2	17.3	-3.07	16.3	15.5	0.87
Dalton Knecht	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	14.1	15.1	-1.01	17.4	15.5	1.81
Cam Reddish	7	7	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	8	-20	15.7	14.7	1.02	14.4	16.3	-1.91
Jaxson Hayes	12	13	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	3	-10	15.7	14.6	1.02	16.2	16.2	-0.05
Shake Milton	9	9	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.15	-16	12	-28	16.3	14.6	1.73	15.0	16.3	-1.32
Dorian Finney-Smith	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	2	-8	14.5	15.1	-0.64	16.5	15.9	0.62
LeBron James	72	71	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.42	-13	9	-22	15.0	13.9	1.18	15.6	18.2	-2.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	25	24	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-6	16	15.6	16.4	-0.76	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Steven Adams	33	33	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-13	30	15.8	16.4	-0.63	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Jae'Sean Tate	26	28	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-10	24	16.9	15.9	0.96	15.5	14.5	0.99
Fred VanVleet	83	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.51	-5	9	-14	16.2	16.0	0.22	15.0	13.2	1.75
Amen Thompson	80	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	15.9	17.8	-1.83	14.4	17.5	-3.14
Cam Whitmore	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	-2	8	17.6	15.5	2.13	13.9	15.2	-1.34
Dillon Brooks	64	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	8	-12	15.6	17.5	-1.87	15.1	14.1	1.06
Jalen Green	62	63	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	9	-14	16.3	16.0	0.29	14.8	14.7	0.16
Alperen Sengun	60	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.34	-14	18	-32	16.4	15.8	0.68	15.2	14.1	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.58,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.5%
DET 78, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.94,0.86,0.93,0.81,0.92,1,1,1	92.3%
LAL 84, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.2%