NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	78		Excitement	5.7 [670]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +4.3%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	1.4 [891]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -20.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Dana Barros	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	45%	-0.05	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	11	38%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	10	33%	-0.11	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	15	35%	-0.17	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	12	78%	0.12	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	46%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	17	50%	0.09	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	31.4	15.6	26.1	1.8	33.0	130.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +50.9%

DET -2.8%

ORL +12.0%

DET -16.6%

ORL +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.6	83.9	93.5	102.3
season	15.7	14.6		101.9	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.8		103.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	14.9	14.3	15.3	15.4
ORL	15.6	13.9	14.5	19.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	66	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.21	5	-14	19	15.3	15.4	-0.06	16.1	14.4	1.74
Ben Wallace	60	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-11	13	15.4	15.2	0.24	15.9	15.0	0.92
Jerry Stackhouse	70	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-13	17	15.8	14.2	1.58	15.7	15.2	0.51
Zeljko Rebraca	35	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	14.3	16.0	-1.64	16.0	15.3	0.66
Corliss Williamson	52	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	2	-13	15.8	14.8	1.05	14.2	17.3	-3.12
Jon Barry	23	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	4	-17	14.2	15.8	-1.58	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Michael Curry	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-6	3	15.0	16.2	-1.21	16.1	14.4	1.78
Dana Barros	27	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	5	-19	15.4	15.3	0.06	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Clifford Robinson	67	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	1	-11	15.8	14.2	1.63	15.6	15.5	0.14

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	2	5	15.8	15.3	0.53	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Mike Miller	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	2	5	15.9	13.8	2.13	15.8	12.7	3.11
Darrell Armstrong	70	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	4	1	16.0	14.4	1.61	15.8	13.9	1.91
Monty Williams	31	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	-4	17	14.6	16.1	-1.44	14.7	15.7	-1.03
Patrick Ewing	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-2	13	14.4	16.7	-2.31	15.8	15.0	0.82
Tracy McGrady	67	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	7	-5	15.1	16.8	-1.62	15.8	14.2	1.62
Horace Grant	61	61	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.20	3	6	-3	16.5	13.9	2.63	15.7	14.8	0.84
Troy Hudson	29	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	8	-7	15.8	15.5	0.33	12.9	16.4	-3.49
Jud Buechler	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	18.0	15.5	2.48	8.0	15.6	-7.61
Andrew DeClercq	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	14.8	15.9	-1.09	15.6	15.3	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.94,0.86,0.93,0.81,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,1	93.4%
MIL 112, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.4%
ATL 100, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	93.3%