NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	5.2 [631]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +7.6%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	1.3 [729]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -19.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	11	60%	0.14	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	13	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Steve Blake	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.03	9	30%	-0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	23	42%	-0.08	6	-0.12	6	83%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	19	56%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	16	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.04	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	29.5	16.6	33.2	3.5	35.5	147.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +23.3%

LAL -8.6%

DEN +13.4%

DEN +22.3%

LAL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.6	92.3	108.8	102.8
season	16.2	14.5		103.8	107.5
opponent	15.8	15.1		104.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.0	17.5	15.4	15.0	16.4
DEN	13.3	16.0	16.6	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Goudelock	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	0.0	16.4	-16.43	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Christian Eyenga	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	0.0	16.4	-16.43	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Josh McRoberts	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	6.7	16.8	-10.09	5.7	15.5	-9.88
Devin Ebanks	29	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-16	17	18.3	15.5	2.81	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Jordan Hill	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-9	3	16.0	16.6	-0.66	15.3	15.2	0.12
Pau Gasol	75	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-10	5	16.9	14.4	2.42	15.4	14.2	1.25
Matt Barnes	38	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	16.1	16.7	-0.60	15.3	15.2	0.14
Ramon Sessions	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-5	-5	16.1	17.7	-1.57	15.4	14.5	0.90
Kobe Bryant	79	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-3	-9	16.4	16.7	-0.37	15.0	16.5	-1.45
Andrew Bynum	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	1	-17	16.7	14.9	1.87	15.5	13.9	1.54
Steve Blake	54	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.04	-17	2	-19	15.9	17.2	-1.37	15.2	15.3	-0.09

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	54	54	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.22	30	-15	45	14.5	16.2	-1.72	16.1	16.9	-0.83
Ty Lawson	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.15	23	-8	31	15.0	16.1	-1.02	15.5	20.4	-4.83
Andre Miller	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-2	19	14.8	16.1	-1.25	15.9	17.5	-1.55
Kenneth Faried	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	10	-5	15.2	15.2	0.00	16.4	16.5	-0.07
Corey Brewer	28	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	11	-7	15.5	15.1	0.46	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Arron Afflalo	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	11	-7	15.3	15.1	0.17	18.8	14.2	4.60
Danilo Gallinari	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	16	-17	15.5	14.6	0.84	16.5	16.2	0.26
Al Harrington	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	14	-13	15.4	15.1	0.24	17.2	16.0	1.17
Timofey Mozgov	26	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	23	-31	16.8	14.6	2.28	16.7	16.3	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 90, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DEN 77, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NYK 85, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%