NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	113		Excitement	7.4 [404]		MVP	Lindy Waters III (GSW): +24.9%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	1.1 [844]		LVP	Jaylen Wells (MEM): -13.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jay Huff	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	4	112%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	4	78%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Clarke	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	71%	0.13	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Zach Edey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	83%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	21	53%	0.14	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	20	52%	0.11	8	-0.23	2	100%	0.02
Jaylen Wells	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	13	31%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.08	-0.00	7	114%	0.29	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.01	17	65%	0.27	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.03	9	78%	0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	3	89%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	15	50%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	81%	0.11	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	41%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	0.2	30.4	14.7	25.4	2.3	35.5	135.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.0%

MEM -7.6%

MEM -10.9%

GSW +16.6%

GSW +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	15.1	14.4	111.9	122.2	113.1
season	13.3	14.5		115.6	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		110.5	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	11.8	13.8	14.6	15.3	13.8
GSW	13.9	14.5	15.4	16.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Spencer	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-11	14	15.0	13.3	1.73	14.4	15.3	-0.95
Jay Huff	33	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-8	8	12.6	14.3	-1.70	17.7	13.9	3.79
Jake LaRavia	66	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-9	10	13.8	13.7	0.10	15.8	13.7	2.15
Brandon Clarke	53	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-12	16	12.5	15.1	-2.58	17.3	12.8	4.56
Scotty Pippen Jr.	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	14.5	12.6	1.90	13.0	18.1	-5.14
Zach Edey	43	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	3	-14	15.4	12.5	2.86	13.2	16.6	-3.33
Jaren Jackson Jr.	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	2	-12	14.4	11.7	2.63	13.7	19.7	-5.98
Desmond Bane	76	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	2	-12	13.1	15.6	-2.46	15.5	13.7	1.80
Jaylen Wells	72	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	2	-12	13.0	15.6	-2.52	15.8	13.1	2.68

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	75	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-2	12	15.5	13.5	2.01	13.1	15.8	-2.67
Trayce Jackson-Davis	60	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	14.4	16.1	-1.72	13.8	13.6	0.22
Dennis Schroder	74	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-5	18	15.1	15.0	0.03	14.1	12.7	1.43
Buddy Hield	52	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-10	28	14.1	16.2	-2.11	14.2	13.2	0.99
Draymond Green	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.07	10	-2	12	14.8	15.5	-0.75	14.2	13.0	1.18
Kyle Anderson	41	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	16.0	14.4	1.56	14.0	13.6	0.36
Lindy Waters III	55	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	13	-18	15.8	14.1	1.66	13.9	13.6	0.23
Jonathan Kuminga	31	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	8	-8	15.5	14.9	0.66	12.6	14.3	-1.75
Pat Spencer	25	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	13	-18	15.0	15.1	-0.03	12.7	14.1	-1.43
Moses Moody	18	18	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	19	-30	14.0	15.3	-1.30	14.6	13.6	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.97,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
BOS 105, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.7,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,0.96,1	93.0%
MIL 104, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.9%