inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 122 Excitement10.4 [43] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +30.1%
San Antonio Spurs 111 Comeback10.2 [201] LVPChris Paul (SAS): -23.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.300,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.1,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.220.090.023561%0.342-0.04683%-0.03
Michael Porter Jr.0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.170.060.041768%0.251-0.06786%0.03
Russell Westbrook0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15-0.030.17-0.011141%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Pickett0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Hunter Tyson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Christian Braun-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.01850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01430%-0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Julian Strawther-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.010.00925%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Jamal Murray-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.011738%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Peyton Watson-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.02-0.140.00644%-0.101-0.06667%-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeremy Sochan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.030.130.00462%0.1500.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.17-0.060.011473%0.1000.002100%0.01
Tre Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.01-0.01675%0.0700.0000%0.00
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.01567%0.091-0.03580%-0.02
Stephon Castle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.001048%0.0400.001100%0.01
Charles Bassey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.050.00850%-0.031-0.02475%-0.00
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.11-0.061948%0.084-0.174100%0.03
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.00825%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Devin Vassell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.060.002045%0.074-0.202100%0.02
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.15-0.09-0.01911%-0.182-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.32.324.813.828.42.331.91.716.2149.9
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.12.415.6134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +22.3%
DEN +2.4%
SAS -6.2%
DEN +29.9%
DEN +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game14.015.314.4114.0100.9113.1
season14.014.2118.4113.0
opponent14.514.6115.6114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN12.914.314.314.414.914.0
SAS14.312.916.316.918.415.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Peyton Watson67680.82-0.321.130.2918-72514.513.31.1415.514.90.57
Michael Porter Jr.92940.73-0.230.960.1121-103114.113.50.6615.712.43.30
Russell Westbrook73770.420.080.330.1883513.814.6-0.8115.415.00.36
Nikola Jokic87910.380.120.260.1774313.715.3-1.6115.315.00.31
Jamal Murray75770.350.150.200.32110-914.213.60.6315.414.80.62
DeAndre Jordan20190.120.38-0.260.0047-315.313.71.6115.015.3-0.31
Julian Strawther54540.100.40-0.30-0.1174314.313.80.5214.416.0-1.59
Jalen Pickett770.080.42-0.34-0.0447-313.414.1-0.6517.715.12.63
Hunter Tyson22-0.070.57-0.640.02-314-1710.014.1-4.1113.015.3-2.30
Christian Braun5861-0.420.92-1.34-0.07-1223-3513.414.7-1.2914.416.3-1.90

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tre Jones39380.03-0.530.560.001-121314.415.7-1.2714.513.80.72
Stephon Castle3232-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-10914.715.5-0.7614.713.71.02
Jeremy Sochan5652-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-141715.215.3-0.1513.814.3-0.48
Charles Bassey77-0.06-0.440.380.00-2-9717.715.12.6313.414.1-0.65
Julian Champagnie4647-0.10-0.400.300.10-7-4-314.915.5-0.5513.314.6-1.32
Zach Collins2221-0.20-0.300.100.15-121-1314.715.4-0.7213.014.3-1.23
Victor Wembanyama8179-0.24-0.260.02-0.333-141715.215.4-0.2214.413.11.21
Chris Paul6563-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-9714.915.8-0.9614.213.80.37
Keldon Johnson5455-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.06-143-1715.315.20.1514.313.80.48
Harrison Barnes6864-0.510.01-0.52-0.25-9-2-715.614.70.8414.513.31.19
Devin Vassell8077-0.590.09-0.67-0.15-154-1916.113.03.1013.415.6-2.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.68,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.27,0.54,0.32,0.16,0.03,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 118, GSW 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.49,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.04,090.7%
MIL 107, TOR 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.23,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.22,0.18,089.6%
IND 102, GSW 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.09,0.02,089.1%