inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 102 Excitement10.7 [27] MVPGilbert Arenas (GSW): +6.8%
Golden State Warriors 97 Comeback13.6 [115] LVPLarry Hughes (GSW): -64.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Ollie0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00183%0.0300.001080%0.01
Metta World Peace0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.001157%0.031-0.03875%0.02
Austin Croshere-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonathan Bender-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.02-0.011439%-0.022-0.05560%-0.01
Jeff Foster-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01312%-0.081-0.01250%-0.01
Brad Miller-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.060.02959%-0.032-0.07989%0.01
Reggie Miller-0.150,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.38,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.15-0.05-0.100.001950%-0.013-0.148100%0.03
Jamaal Tinsley-0.390,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.21,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.39-0.16-0.24-0.01937%0.015-0.40683%0.07
Jermaine O'Neal-0.510,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.44,-0.44,-0.51,-0.51,-0.51,-0.51-0.19-0.36-0.041634%-0.114-0.40650%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.070.070.12-0.020.031175%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00737%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01536%-0.031-0.03475%-0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.02948%-0.041-0.03367%-0.01
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.03-0.01725%-0.0700.00650%-0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.08-0.021851%-0.032-0.06771%-0.04
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.34,-0.32-0.32-0.08-0.220.022133%-0.3200.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.33-0.10-0.23-0.00631%-0.272-0.06475%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.4,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63,-0.64-0.64-0.18-0.47-0.001832%-0.454-0.192100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.02.030.115.727.21.838.71.722.3169.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +77.7%
IND +37.7%
IND +2.2%
GSW -67.0%
GSW -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDGSWNBAINDGSWNBA
this game14.214.915.693.689.0102.3
season15.314.7101.6100.7
opponent15.115.4106.2100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
IND11.716.718.514.47.714.2
GSW16.012.614.217.613.714.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller86870.69-0.190.890.3412-71913.716.3-2.6615.711.93.84
Jermaine O'Neal84830.65-0.150.800.3610-51514.314.00.2714.914.90.00
Jonathan Bender72720.60-0.100.700.66-27-914.114.6-0.5314.615.6-1.09
Jamaal Tinsley73720.55-0.050.590.4632113.615.6-2.0415.613.71.89
Reggie Miller89880.430.070.350.2850513.716.5-2.8215.114.01.09
Austin Croshere13130.030.47-0.45-0.0323-115.814.01.8114.715.0-0.27
Kevin Ollie4041-0.040.54-0.58-0.0714-314.214.3-0.0813.016.1-3.05
Jeff Foster3232-0.170.67-0.84-0.02-510-1515.013.91.0214.515.1-0.65
Metta World Peace5657-0.240.74-0.98-0.21-16-716.212.24.0114.815.1-0.36

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Hughes60620.11-0.610.72-0.076-111714.315.7-1.3913.015.8-2.78
Adonal Foyle58580.09-0.590.690.013-81114.815.0-0.1714.713.70.98
Bob Sura4848-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-7914.615.2-0.6115.313.41.90
Troy Murphy3132-0.11-0.390.290.10-72-914.115.2-1.1116.313.42.92
Antawn Jamison8281-0.15-0.350.20-0.295-101515.014.90.1013.915.4-1.49
Danny Fortson6665-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-6715.913.42.5714.613.70.91
Gilbert Arenas6363-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.40-3-2-113.616.7-3.0614.314.20.13
Erick Dampier5554-0.660.16-0.82-0.31-127-1915.314.50.7713.714.8-1.15
Jason Richardson8282-0.890.39-1.28-0.30-2015-3515.812.13.6913.815.5-1.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.09,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 125, DET 1190.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.05,0.17,090.8%
DAL 129, MEM 1270.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.47,0.66,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.83,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.04,089.8%
NYK 116, DET 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.18,089.2%