NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	133		Excitement	7.8 [326]		MVP	Malik Monk (SAC): +35.7%
Sacramento Kings	138		Comeback	1.4 [700]		LVP	John Konchar (MEM): -8.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Wells	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.30	0.05	0.06	16	94%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.11	0.02	6	94%	0.28	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Brandon Clarke	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jake LaRavia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	21	54%	0.15	4	-0.14	10	70%	0.00
Jay Huff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	48%	-0.00	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	14	61%	0.09	5	-0.17	8	100%	0.05
John Konchar	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.20	0.16	0.00	20	72%	0.41	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.35	0.35	0.17	0.16	-0.02	18	67%	0.32	1	0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.02	0.01	6	133%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	23	42%	0.07	1	-0.05	9	89%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.6	26.7	15.3	30.5	2.3	42.5	144.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +54.0%

MEM -21.7%

MEM -11.3%

SAC +27.8%

SAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	12.6	14.1	14.4	123.1	129.0	113.1
season	13.3	14.3		116.5	115.1
opponent	14.6	14.3		114.9	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.8	11.7	12.9	12.2	12.6
SAC	12.9	15.6	13.3	14.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	71	72	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.20	13	-18	31	11.8	14.2	-2.43	14.5	13.4	1.07
Jay Huff	9	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	0	-5	8.9	13.0	-4.10	9.2	14.5	-5.30
John Konchar	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	12.5	12.7	-0.16	13.1	14.6	-1.56
Zach Edey	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-5	5	12.2	13.0	-0.71	15.7	13.0	2.64
Jake LaRavia	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-4	3	12.8	12.6	0.16	15.0	13.8	1.25
Jaren Jackson Jr.	78	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-2	-1	12.8	12.2	0.62	13.8	14.9	-1.12
Brandon Clarke	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-5	5	13.6	11.7	1.95	13.6	14.7	-1.12
Desmond Bane	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-4	3	12.7	12.4	0.30	14.3	13.7	0.54
Jaylen Wells	80	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	12.7	12.5	0.25	14.4	13.5	0.87
Scotty Pippen Jr.	57	56	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.08	-21	16	-37	13.2	12.0	1.27	13.7	14.6	-0.84

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	84	85	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-5	15	14.2	14.1	0.02	12.3	13.8	-1.44
Keon Ellis	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-4	13	14.1	14.2	-0.05	13.1	11.7	1.42
Domantas Sabonis	84	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	14.3	13.7	0.63	13.0	11.2	1.80
Malik Monk	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.1	14.3	-0.23	12.8	12.4	0.37
De'Aaron Fox	91	91	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	3	-1	13.7	16.6	-2.84	12.4	13.9	-1.53
Trey Lyles	48	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	-1	7	14.2	14.1	0.07	13.2	12.2	1.05
Alex Len	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	13.7	14.3	-0.63	11.2	13.0	-1.80
Kevin Huerter	31	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	8	-11	15.3	13.7	1.65	13.3	12.4	0.99
Devin Carter	25	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	13	-21	14.4	14.1	0.33	11.0	13.2	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.8%
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	92.8%
BOS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.7%