NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	7.5 [362]		MVP	Aaron Wiggins (OKC): +61.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Comeback	6.4 [316]		LVP	Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC): -13.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.01	19	63%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.02	13	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	15	59%	0.13	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	23	42%	-0.00	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.39,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62	0.62	0.21	0.41	-0.00	9	100%	0.62	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	17	51%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.05	0.03	26	56%	0.13	2	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.05	7	79%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	26.9	14.7	33.5	2.3	28.7	132.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +39.9%

OKC +10.9%

NYK -1.3%

NYK -4.1%

OKC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	OKC	NBA	NYK	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	12.6	14.4	107.0	117.0	113.1
season	15.2	13.7		117.0	118.5
opponent	14.7	14.2		105.8	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	13.6	18.0	16.7	16.2
OKC	13.2	12.6	10.8	14.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	31	30	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-13	16	16.3	16.1	0.19	11.7	13.0	-1.34
Precious Achiuwa	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-7	4	18.6	15.7	2.93	12.3	12.7	-0.39
Cameron Payne	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-3	-4	18.4	15.7	2.64	13.0	12.6	0.43
Jalen Brunson	83	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-7	4	15.7	18.4	-2.64	12.6	13.0	-0.43
Karl-Anthony Towns	89	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-4	-2	15.9	18.5	-2.58	12.6	13.1	-0.50
Mikal Bridges	85	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	0	-10	16.1	16.7	-0.67	12.6	13.1	-0.58
Josh Hart	91	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	2	-14	16.2	16.0	0.18	13.0	8.3	4.68
OG Anunoby	88	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	2	-14	16.0	17.1	-1.05	12.8	11.3	1.48

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	54	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	2	6	13.1	12.1	0.98	15.0	17.3	-2.33
Jalen Williams	79	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	4	2	12.4	13.4	-0.94	16.4	15.2	1.14
Luguentz Dort	66	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	1	8	12.6	12.7	-0.14	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Isaiah Hartenstein	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-1	12	12.9	12.2	0.70	16.0	16.4	-0.33
Cason Wallace	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-4	18	12.2	13.6	-1.44	17.4	13.7	3.63
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	76	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	0	10	12.4	13.5	-1.08	16.1	16.5	-0.47
Isaiah Joe	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	7	-4	14.3	12.0	2.30	16.4	16.1	0.27
Jaylin Williams	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	7	-4	12.3	12.7	-0.39	18.6	15.7	2.93
Ajay Mitchell	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	14	-18	12.3	12.8	-0.44	16.2	16.1	0.08
Kenrich Williams	19	20	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	20	-30	12.5	12.7	-0.21	12.7	17.0	-4.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.9,1	93.0%
DEN 86, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.2%
NOP 100, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.52,0.45,0.72,0.89,0.99,1	91.1%