NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	5.7 [643]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +32.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	2.0 [773]		LVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): -15.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.02	17	62%	0.20	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Toumani Camara	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	14	63%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Kris Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Clingan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scoot Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	16	47%	-0.03	3	-0.12	8	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.32	0.32	0.20	0.12	-0.01	25	73%	0.39	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.23	0.08	0.00	16	76%	0.31	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	25.5	14.6	25.1	1.8	33.3	127.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.7%

POR -8.4%

LAL +2.9%

LAL +22.0%

LAL +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	15.9	14.4	108.2	117.5	113.1
season	14.3	14.9		110.3	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.5		113.5	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	14.9	13.2	12.0	13.7
LAL	16.3	12.2	16.8	18.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Clingan	35	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-7	6	12.9	14.1	-1.15	17.2	15.2	2.02
Dalano Banton	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	10.9	14.0	-3.07	17.6	15.7	1.90
Scoot Henderson	64	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-11	14	13.0	15.0	-2.02	17.1	13.7	3.37
Deni Avdija	75	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-13	18	13.4	14.5	-1.08	15.8	16.3	-0.48
Kris Murray	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	2	-12	13.9	13.5	0.40	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Anfernee Simons	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	13.3	15.0	-1.68	16.0	15.6	0.42
Deandre Ayton	45	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	6	-20	14.9	12.6	2.33	13.3	18.2	-4.91
Shaedon Sharpe	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	14.2	11.9	2.35	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Toumani Camara	77	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	1	-10	14.1	11.9	2.29	15.9	15.8	0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-2	12	15.1	18.6	-3.50	14.4	11.1	3.35
Dorian Finney-Smith	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-3	14	17.3	14.7	2.60	13.7	13.6	0.03
LeBron James	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	4	0	16.2	14.9	1.35	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Max Christie	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	15.0	17.7	-2.68	14.2	12.6	1.58
Christian Koloko	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	0	8	17.0	15.3	1.68	14.1	13.4	0.76
Jaxson Hayes	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	14.3	16.9	-2.56	14.1	13.4	0.74
Shake Milton	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	6	-4	17.5	15.1	2.39	12.6	14.2	-1.58
Cam Reddish	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	10	-12	16.2	15.7	0.47	13.0	14.1	-1.04
Rui Hachimura	48	50	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	11	-14	15.8	16.0	-0.25	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Dalton Knecht	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	11	-14	15.9	15.9	-0.06	12.7	14.2	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
NJN 70, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
GSW 108, MEM 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%