NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	5.4 [297]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +16.5%
New York Knicks	119		Comeback	2.0 [439]		LVP	Svi Mykhailiuk (UTA): -11.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.03	13	93%	0.23	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	19	53%	0.13	5	-0.07	9	67%	-0.00
Keyonte George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.08	6	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	22	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.06	0.03	20	63%	0.22	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	0.02	0.07	17	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	16	63%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	12	56%	0.09	7	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	25.4	15.5	29.2	1.7	29.2	126.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +50.0%

NYK +3.8%

UTA -1.0%

NYK +3.8%

UTA -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.3	101.0	117.8	112.0
season	14.9	15.2		109.6	119.3
opponent	14.2	13.7		111.8	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	16.5	13.3	13.1	14.6
NYK	14.5	12.3	12.4	16.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	75	75	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-16	16	14.1	15.9	-1.81	14.2	12.6	1.66
Kyle Filipowski	22	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-12	8	16.1	14.1	1.95	14.1	13.7	0.36
Johnny Juzang	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-12	8	13.6	15.4	-1.79	14.5	13.2	1.35
Keyonte George	76	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-10	4	14.6	14.5	0.03	14.2	12.7	1.50
Collin Sexton	66	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-11	6	14.2	15.2	-0.98	14.1	13.3	0.74
Isaiah Collier	24	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-5	-6	15.2	14.4	0.79	12.7	14.2	-1.50
Jordan Clarkson	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-6	-4	14.7	14.3	0.40	13.9	13.6	0.34
Svi Mykhailiuk	33	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	15.1	14.3	0.79	13.1	14.1	-1.05
Walker Kessler	67	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-2	-12	14.6	14.5	0.11	13.1	15.2	-2.08
Brice Sensabaugh	32	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-2	-12	15.4	14.2	1.19	12.9	14.2	-1.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	96	96	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	1	14	13.8	14.4	-0.62	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Mikal Bridges	93	94	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	3	10	14.0	11.6	2.38	14.6	14.5	0.06
Precious Achiuwa	27	28	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	1	14	12.1	14.4	-2.37	15.6	14.2	1.40
Karl-Anthony Towns	81	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	5	6	14.0	13.1	0.83	14.1	16.1	-2.01
Tyler Kolek	26	26	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	5	6	13.3	14.0	-0.68	15.5	14.2	1.21
Landry Shamet	22	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	6	4	12.6	14.1	-1.50	16.1	14.1	1.99
Cameron Payne	75	76	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	11	-6	14.0	13.3	0.68	14.2	15.5	-1.21
OG Anunoby	85	86	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	16	-16	14.3	11.0	3.34	14.2	16.3	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.5%
DAL 81, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
NJN 91, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	94.3%