inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 120 Excitement8.6 [88] MVPGary Trent Jr. (MIL): +34.1%
Indiana Pacers 112 Comeback21.2 [37] LVPDamian Lillard (MIL): -13.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.34,0.340.120.22-0.00978%0.3400.0000%0.00
AJ Green0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.040.00675%0.1100.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.10.080.030.012057%0.152-0.051362%-0.05
Taurean Prince0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.060.00947%0.081-0.0210%-0.02
Brook Lopez0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.010.031167%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Bobby Portis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.020.010.010.001447%0.0200.002100%0.01
Andre Jackson Jr.0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ryan Rollins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.01-0.100.011154%0.054-0.176100%0.03
Damian Lillard-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.02-0.021432%0.064-0.1900%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarace Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.060.00579%0.1500.004100%0.02
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.011267%0.192-0.1000%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.021456%0.091-0.02862%-0.03
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001100%0.0500.001100%0.00
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.010.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.05,0.01,00.000.030.010.031861%0.226-0.21540%0.00
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00340%-0.021-0.02450%-0.04
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01550%0.013-0.0720%-0.03
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.05-0.041337%-0.051-0.02683%0.01
Andrew Nembhard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.06-0.041436%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.728.214.734.42.438.6144.4
league avg25.82.328.114.928.42.332.3134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +30.0%
MIL +0.9%
MIL +8.2%
MIL +9.5%
MIL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILINDNBAMILINDNBA
this game13.512.914.3109.1103.7112.0
season14.613.8111.3112.8
opponent14.614.1115.0109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.113.214.314.613.5
IND12.711.113.314.812.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Portis67670.74-0.240.980.3015-72213.713.20.4413.711.62.15
Giannis Antetokounmpo79780.62-0.120.730.2612-41613.413.7-0.2913.611.22.33
Gary Trent Jr.63630.53-0.030.550.3853213.813.10.7613.112.70.35
Taurean Prince57550.490.010.470.0216-82413.613.40.1613.212.60.58
Khris Middleton72710.350.150.200.2926-413.214.2-1.0112.912.90.08
Damian Lillard84820.320.180.140.2044013.613.30.2512.414.5-2.03
AJ Green37370.070.43-0.36-0.1780812.913.8-0.8813.212.80.37
Ryan Rollins33-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-210-1218.013.44.6313.712.90.77
Andre Jackson Jr.2928-0.120.62-0.750.05-614-2013.613.50.1612.413.1-0.66
Brook Lopez5956-0.360.86-1.220.05-1422-3613.413.6-0.2011.314.6-3.31

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thomas Bryant12110.14-0.640.79-0.036-142013.912.81.1213.313.5-0.25
Ben Sheppard4241-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-91013.512.60.8813.513.50.06
Jarace Walker3434-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-6413.612.60.9813.913.30.55
T.J. McConnell3635-0.22-0.280.060.07-102-1214.012.41.6713.413.6-0.19
Andrew Nembhard7275-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.342-101212.414.0-1.6713.613.40.19
Obi Toppin2826-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-135-1814.012.51.4612.413.8-1.41
Pascal Siakam7075-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.17-5-3-212.214.2-1.9213.912.51.40
Myles Turner7578-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-6412.414.0-1.5613.513.6-0.13
Tyrese Haliburton8789-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.31-6-2-412.713.7-0.9913.812.31.44
Bennedict Mathurin8486-0.520.02-0.54-0.20-113-1413.112.40.6413.015.1-2.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.22,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 90, GSW 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.04,093.4%
BOS 99, DAL 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.15,092.3%
ATL 91, WAS 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.02,092.2%