NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	9.1 [67]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAS): +33.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	4.5 [193]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -27.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.25	0.10	0.02	9	104%	0.33	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Devin Vassell	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.12	0.02	14	69%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	46%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Victor Wembanyama	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.02	30	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.06
Charles Bassey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Julian Champagnie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	-0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	8	31%	-0.16	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.29,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.01	15	72%	0.30	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.01	12	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	16	47%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	20	34%	-0.24	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	24.5	15.3	28.4	1.7	41.6	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +12.1%

SAS -17.6%

MIN +60.2%

MIN +1.3%

SAS -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	14.3	113.4	114.3	112.0
season	14.4	14.7		111.4	110.8
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.2	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.0	17.3	14.7	14.2	15.0
MIN	13.7	13.5	15.9	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	27	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.16	1	-3	4	12.4	16.0	-3.58	12.0	15.5	-3.47
Charles Bassey	12	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	2	-6	12.7	15.3	-2.56	11.7	14.9	-3.18
Zach Collins	12	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.0	0.11	15.7	14.4	1.36
Harrison Barnes	67	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.48	14	-16	30	15.4	14.0	1.38	14.9	13.7	1.22
Chris Paul	70	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.48	13	-15	28	15.6	13.4	2.24	14.6	14.5	0.10
Tre Jones	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	7	-16	14.2	15.3	-1.04	14.2	14.7	-0.42
Stephon Castle	17	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	10	-22	13.5	15.3	-1.84	12.1	15.1	-2.94
Victor Wembanyama	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.54	5	-7	12	15.3	13.9	1.43	14.7	14.0	0.67
Devin Vassell	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.57	5	-7	12	15.1	14.7	0.41	15.0	13.4	1.59
Keldon Johnson	36	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.03	-17	15	-32	14.0	15.6	-1.62	14.5	14.6	-0.04
Jeremy Sochan	72	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.63	-3	1	-4	16.0	12.1	3.92	15.4	12.2	3.21

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	68	69	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.27	23	-21	44	14.1	15.7	-1.61	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Anthony Edwards	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.59	1	1	0	15.1	12.9	2.16	16.1	11.7	4.30
Jaden McDaniels	62	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.67	-4	6	-10	15.5	12.9	2.63	16.1	13.1	2.94
Rudy Gobert	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.54	-1	3	-4	15.1	13.6	1.50	15.4	14.3	1.15
Julius Randle	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.56	-9	11	-20	14.8	13.8	0.96	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	36	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.23	6	-4	10	12.9	15.5	-2.63	13.1	16.1	-2.94
Naz Reid	44	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.23	4	-2	6	13.1	15.7	-2.65	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Mike Conley	47	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	13	-24	15.5	13.6	1.88	16.0	14.2	1.77
Josh Minott	27	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.17	1	1	0	13.0	15.1	-2.09	12.5	16.0	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.3,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	90.4%
DET 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,1	90.0%
NOP 90, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.93,0.99,1,1	89.8%